The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting

Abstract In order to advance the use of ensembles in forecasting space weather events, the workshop Ensemble Forecasts in Space Weather: Science and Operations took place at the Lorentz Center in Leiden, The Netherlands, on 2–6 September 2019. The aim of this workshop was to bring together space wea...

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Main Authors: J. A. Guerra, S. A. Murray, E. Doornbos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-02-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002443
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author J. A. Guerra
S. A. Murray
E. Doornbos
author_facet J. A. Guerra
S. A. Murray
E. Doornbos
author_sort J. A. Guerra
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In order to advance the use of ensembles in forecasting space weather events, the workshop Ensemble Forecasts in Space Weather: Science and Operations took place at the Lorentz Center in Leiden, The Netherlands, on 2–6 September 2019. The aim of this workshop was to bring together space weather scientists from academic institutions and operational centers and experts in ensemble techniques in terrestrial weather forecasting. Ensembles are currently used across all the subfields of space weather; however, there seems to be no community‐wide consensus about how to best utilize them. Therefore, the Testing, Understanding, and Leveraging Ensemble Predictions for Space Weather (TULEPS) working group was created to provide a starting point for the space weather community to the use of ensemble techniques.
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spelling doaj-art-823060965279414cb2af56940f7a56dc2025-01-14T16:30:20ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902020-02-01182n/an/a10.1029/2020SW002443The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather ForecastingJ. A. Guerra0S. A. Murray1E. Doornbos2Physics Department Villanova University Villanova PA USASchool of Physics Trinity College Dublin Dublin IrelandRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) De Bilt The NetherlandsAbstract In order to advance the use of ensembles in forecasting space weather events, the workshop Ensemble Forecasts in Space Weather: Science and Operations took place at the Lorentz Center in Leiden, The Netherlands, on 2–6 September 2019. The aim of this workshop was to bring together space weather scientists from academic institutions and operational centers and experts in ensemble techniques in terrestrial weather forecasting. Ensembles are currently used across all the subfields of space weather; however, there seems to be no community‐wide consensus about how to best utilize them. Therefore, the Testing, Understanding, and Leveraging Ensemble Predictions for Space Weather (TULEPS) working group was created to provide a starting point for the space weather community to the use of ensemble techniques.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002443ensembleforecastingsynergy
spellingShingle J. A. Guerra
S. A. Murray
E. Doornbos
The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
Space Weather
ensemble
forecasting
synergy
title The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
title_full The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
title_fullStr The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
title_short The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
title_sort use of ensembles in space weather forecasting
topic ensemble
forecasting
synergy
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002443
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