POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS

OBJECTIVE. The authors created an effective system of prediction of acute erosive-ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum in victims with extensive burns. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The patients (85) were divided into two groups. The first group included 45 patients (53 %) with erosive ulcerative...

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Main Authors: O. N. Ergashev, E. N. Zinov’Ev, Yu. M. Vinogradov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University 2017-04-01
Series:Вестник хирургии имени И.И. Грекова
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vestnik-grekova.ru/jour/article/view/320
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author O. N. Ergashev
E. N. Zinov’Ev
Yu. M. Vinogradov
author_facet O. N. Ergashev
E. N. Zinov’Ev
Yu. M. Vinogradov
author_sort O. N. Ergashev
collection DOAJ
description OBJECTIVE. The authors created an effective system of prediction of acute erosive-ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum in victims with extensive burns. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The patients (85) were divided into two groups. The first group included 45 patients (53 %) with erosive ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum which developed during 14 days after injury. The second group numbered 40 patients (47 %) without complications. The clinical, laboratory and instrumental methods of investigations were applied. RESULTS. According to data analysis of patient’s examination, the scale of assessment of sign rates was developed. The amount of rates corresponded to the index of prediction (IP). The values of IP were calculated at the interval from -15 to +15 units. The high possibility (85 %) of development of acute erosive and ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum could be expected in cases when IP was about +15 units. CONCLUSIONS. The developed predictive scale of erosive-ulcerative complications of gastrointestinal tract appeared to be highly reliable and allowed doctors to use preventive measures on time.
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series Вестник хирургии имени И.И. Грекова
spelling doaj-art-80493955ab09446ca3f4043e81a5054a2024-11-26T10:43:46ZrusPavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical UniversityВестник хирургии имени И.И. Грекова0042-46252017-04-011762515610.24884/0042-4625-2017-176-2-51-56319POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNSO. N. Ergashev0E. N. Zinov’Ev1Yu. M. Vinogradov2I.P.Pavlov First Saint-Petersburg State Medical UniversityI.P.Pavlov First Saint-Petersburg State Medical UniversityI.P.Pavlov First Saint-Petersburg State Medical UniversityOBJECTIVE. The authors created an effective system of prediction of acute erosive-ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum in victims with extensive burns. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The patients (85) were divided into two groups. The first group included 45 patients (53 %) with erosive ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum which developed during 14 days after injury. The second group numbered 40 patients (47 %) without complications. The clinical, laboratory and instrumental methods of investigations were applied. RESULTS. According to data analysis of patient’s examination, the scale of assessment of sign rates was developed. The amount of rates corresponded to the index of prediction (IP). The values of IP were calculated at the interval from -15 to +15 units. The high possibility (85 %) of development of acute erosive and ulcerative lesions of the stomach and duodenum could be expected in cases when IP was about +15 units. CONCLUSIONS. The developed predictive scale of erosive-ulcerative complications of gastrointestinal tract appeared to be highly reliable and allowed doctors to use preventive measures on time.https://www.vestnik-grekova.ru/jour/article/view/320severe burnserosive-ulcerative lesionsstomachduodenummathematical modelingindex of prediction
spellingShingle O. N. Ergashev
E. N. Zinov’Ev
Yu. M. Vinogradov
POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
Вестник хирургии имени И.И. Грекова
severe burns
erosive-ulcerative lesions
stomach
duodenum
mathematical modeling
index of prediction
title POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
title_full POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
title_fullStr POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
title_full_unstemmed POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
title_short POSSIBILITIES OF MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION OF ACUTE EROSIVE-ULCERATIVE LESIONS OF UPPER PARTS OF GASTROINTESTINAL TRACT IN PATIENTS WITH SEVERE BURNS
title_sort possibilities of mathematical prediction of acute erosive ulcerative lesions of upper parts of gastrointestinal tract in patients with severe burns
topic severe burns
erosive-ulcerative lesions
stomach
duodenum
mathematical modeling
index of prediction
url https://www.vestnik-grekova.ru/jour/article/view/320
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AT yumvinogradov possibilitiesofmathematicalpredictionofacuteerosiveulcerativelesionsofupperpartsofgastrointestinaltractinpatientswithsevereburns