Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model

ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical utility of improved machine learning models in predicting poor prognosis following endovascular intervention for intracranial aneurysms and to develop a corresponding visualization system.MethodsA total of 303 patients with intracranial aneurysms treated with endova...

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Main Authors: Chunyu Lei, Anhui Fu, Bin Li, Shengfu Zhou, Jun Liu, Yu Cao, Bo Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Neurology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2024.1482119/full
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author Chunyu Lei
Anhui Fu
Bin Li
Shengfu Zhou
Jun Liu
Yu Cao
Bo Zhou
author_facet Chunyu Lei
Anhui Fu
Bin Li
Shengfu Zhou
Jun Liu
Yu Cao
Bo Zhou
author_sort Chunyu Lei
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical utility of improved machine learning models in predicting poor prognosis following endovascular intervention for intracranial aneurysms and to develop a corresponding visualization system.MethodsA total of 303 patients with intracranial aneurysms treated with endovascular intervention at four hospitals (FuShun County Zigong City People's Hospital, Nanchong Central Hospital, The Third People's Hospital of Yibin, The Sixth People's Hospital of Yibin) from January 2022 to September 2023 were selected. These patients were divided into a good prognosis group (n = 207) and a poor prognosis group (n = 96). An improved machine learning model was employed to analyze patient clinical data, aiding in the construction of a prediction model for poor prognosis in intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention. This model simultaneously performed feature selection and weight determination. Logistic multivariate analysis was used to validate the selected features. Additionally, a visualization system was developed to automatically calculate the risk level of poor prognosis.ResultsIn the training set, the improved machine learning model achieved a maximum F1 score of 0.8633 and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9118. In the test set, the maximum F1 score was 0.7500, and the AUC was 0.8684. The model identified 10 key variables: age, hypertension, preoperative aneurysm rupture, Hunt-Hess grading, Fisher score, ASA grading, number of aneurysms, intraoperative use of etomidate, intubation upon leaving the operating room, and surgical time. These variables were consistent with the results of logistic multivariate analysis.ConclusionsThe application of improved machine learning models for the analysis of patient clinical data can effectively predict the risk of poor prognosis following endovascular intervention for intracranial aneurysms at an early stage. This approach can assist in formulating intervention plans and ultimately improve patient outcomes.
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spelling doaj-art-7ecd7c5a4b5b4fd0bdafeb34c39097d52025-01-08T16:05:17ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neurology1664-22952025-01-011510.3389/fneur.2024.14821191482119Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning modelChunyu Lei0Anhui Fu1Bin Li2Shengfu Zhou3Jun Liu4Yu Cao5Bo Zhou6Department of Neurosurgery, FuShun County Zigong City People's Hospital, Fushun, ChinaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Nanchong Central Hospital, Nanchong, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, The Third People's Hospital of Yibin, Yibin, ChinaDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Sixth People's Hospital of Yibin, Yibin, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, The Third People's Hospital of Yibin, Yibin, ChinaDepartment of Neurosurgery, FuShun County Zigong City People's Hospital, Fushun, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, The Third People's Hospital of Yibin, Yibin, ChinaObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical utility of improved machine learning models in predicting poor prognosis following endovascular intervention for intracranial aneurysms and to develop a corresponding visualization system.MethodsA total of 303 patients with intracranial aneurysms treated with endovascular intervention at four hospitals (FuShun County Zigong City People's Hospital, Nanchong Central Hospital, The Third People's Hospital of Yibin, The Sixth People's Hospital of Yibin) from January 2022 to September 2023 were selected. These patients were divided into a good prognosis group (n = 207) and a poor prognosis group (n = 96). An improved machine learning model was employed to analyze patient clinical data, aiding in the construction of a prediction model for poor prognosis in intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention. This model simultaneously performed feature selection and weight determination. Logistic multivariate analysis was used to validate the selected features. Additionally, a visualization system was developed to automatically calculate the risk level of poor prognosis.ResultsIn the training set, the improved machine learning model achieved a maximum F1 score of 0.8633 and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9118. In the test set, the maximum F1 score was 0.7500, and the AUC was 0.8684. The model identified 10 key variables: age, hypertension, preoperative aneurysm rupture, Hunt-Hess grading, Fisher score, ASA grading, number of aneurysms, intraoperative use of etomidate, intubation upon leaving the operating room, and surgical time. These variables were consistent with the results of logistic multivariate analysis.ConclusionsThe application of improved machine learning models for the analysis of patient clinical data can effectively predict the risk of poor prognosis following endovascular intervention for intracranial aneurysms at an early stage. This approach can assist in formulating intervention plans and ultimately improve patient outcomes.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2024.1482119/fullimprove machine learning modelsintracranial aneurysmintravascular intervention therapypoor prognosisvisualization system
spellingShingle Chunyu Lei
Anhui Fu
Bin Li
Shengfu Zhou
Jun Liu
Yu Cao
Bo Zhou
Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
Frontiers in Neurology
improve machine learning models
intracranial aneurysm
intravascular intervention therapy
poor prognosis
visualization system
title Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
title_full Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
title_fullStr Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
title_full_unstemmed Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
title_short Construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
title_sort construction of a poor prognosis prediction and visualization system for intracranial aneurysm endovascular intervention treatment based on an improved machine learning model
topic improve machine learning models
intracranial aneurysm
intravascular intervention therapy
poor prognosis
visualization system
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2024.1482119/full
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