Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
The outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipa...
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Language: | English |
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University of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informatics
2024-01-01
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Series: | Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences |
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Online Access: | https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907 |
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author | Maha A. Al-Bayati |
author_facet | Maha A. Al-Bayati |
author_sort | Maha A. Al-Bayati |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipating the increase in epidemic, and hence planning for coverage techniques to control its spread. This work is based on the application of an advanced mathematical model to examine and predict the increase in a pandemic. On the bases of time-series data, an advanced DL model has been implemented to predict the risk of COVID-19 spreading in Iraq. A hybrid approach is presented where two deep learning algorithms; LSTM and GRU are brought up together to achieve good prediction with rewarding levels of (MAE = 0.109), (MAPE = 0.191) and (RMSE = 0.134). |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-778c3b78140f4dccbf7600fcb36c5ac4 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1846-3312 1846-9418 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | University of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informatics |
record_format | Article |
series | Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences |
spelling | doaj-art-778c3b78140f4dccbf7600fcb36c5ac42025-01-10T10:05:40ZengUniversity of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informaticsJournal of Information and Organizational Sciences1846-33121846-94182024-01-0148225326210.31341/jios.48.2.1Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”Maha A. Al-Bayati0Department of Computer Science, College of Science, Mustansiriyah University, Baghdad, IraqThe outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipating the increase in epidemic, and hence planning for coverage techniques to control its spread. This work is based on the application of an advanced mathematical model to examine and predict the increase in a pandemic. On the bases of time-series data, an advanced DL model has been implemented to predict the risk of COVID-19 spreading in Iraq. A hybrid approach is presented where two deep learning algorithms; LSTM and GRU are brought up together to achieve good prediction with rewarding levels of (MAE = 0.109), (MAPE = 0.191) and (RMSE = 0.134).https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907PandemicCOVID-19CoronavirusMachine LearningDeep Learning |
spellingShingle | Maha A. Al-Bayati Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences Pandemic COVID-19 Coronavirus Machine Learning Deep Learning |
title | Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” |
title_full | Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” |
title_fullStr | Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” |
title_full_unstemmed | Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” |
title_short | Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study” |
title_sort | deep learning model for predicting spreading rates of pandemics covid 19 as case study |
topic | Pandemic COVID-19 Coronavirus Machine Learning Deep Learning |
url | https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mahaaalbayati deeplearningmodelforpredictingspreadingratesofpandemicscovid19ascasestudy |