Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”

The outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipa...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Maha A. Al-Bayati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informatics 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1841550059463770112
author Maha A. Al-Bayati
author_facet Maha A. Al-Bayati
author_sort Maha A. Al-Bayati
collection DOAJ
description The outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipating the increase in epidemic, and hence planning for coverage techniques to control its spread. This work is based on the application of an advanced mathematical model to examine and predict the increase in a pandemic. On the bases of time-series data, an advanced DL model has been implemented to predict the risk of COVID-19 spreading in Iraq. A hybrid approach is presented where two deep learning algorithms; LSTM and GRU are brought up together to achieve good prediction with rewarding levels of (MAE = 0.109), (MAPE = 0.191) and (RMSE = 0.134).
format Article
id doaj-art-778c3b78140f4dccbf7600fcb36c5ac4
institution Kabale University
issn 1846-3312
1846-9418
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher University of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informatics
record_format Article
series Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences
spelling doaj-art-778c3b78140f4dccbf7600fcb36c5ac42025-01-10T10:05:40ZengUniversity of Zagreb, Faculty of organization and informaticsJournal of Information and Organizational Sciences1846-33121846-94182024-01-0148225326210.31341/jios.48.2.1Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”Maha A. Al-Bayati0Department of Computer Science, College of Science, Mustansiriyah University, Baghdad, IraqThe outbreak of Coronavirus (COVID-19), especially SARS-CoV-2, has led to a catastrophic scenario in the course of the world. The cumulative prevalence of COVID-19 was increasing rapidly day by day. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) can be deployed to facilitate tracking disease, anticipating the increase in epidemic, and hence planning for coverage techniques to control its spread. This work is based on the application of an advanced mathematical model to examine and predict the increase in a pandemic. On the bases of time-series data, an advanced DL model has been implemented to predict the risk of COVID-19 spreading in Iraq. A hybrid approach is presented where two deep learning algorithms; LSTM and GRU are brought up together to achieve good prediction with rewarding levels of (MAE = 0.109), (MAPE = 0.191) and (RMSE = 0.134).https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907PandemicCOVID-19CoronavirusMachine LearningDeep Learning
spellingShingle Maha A. Al-Bayati
Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
Journal of Information and Organizational Sciences
Pandemic
COVID-19
Coronavirus
Machine Learning
Deep Learning
title Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
title_full Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
title_fullStr Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
title_full_unstemmed Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
title_short Deep Learning Model for Predicting Spreading Rates of Pandemics, “COVID-19 as Case Study”
title_sort deep learning model for predicting spreading rates of pandemics covid 19 as case study
topic Pandemic
COVID-19
Coronavirus
Machine Learning
Deep Learning
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/471907
work_keys_str_mv AT mahaaalbayati deeplearningmodelforpredictingspreadingratesofpandemicscovid19ascasestudy