Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition.
Florida faces the challenge of repeated introduction and autochthonous transmission of arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Empirically-based predictive models of the spatial distribution of these species would aid surveillance and vector control efforts. To predict the occ...
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| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021-03-01
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| Series: | PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases |
| Online Access: | https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0009063&type=printable |
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| author | Bingyi Yang Brooke A Borgert Barry W Alto Carl K Boohene Joe Brew Kelly Deutsch James T DeValerio Rhoel R Dinglasan Daniel Dixon Joseph M Faella Sandra L Fisher-Grainger Gregory E Glass Reginald Hayes David F Hoel Austin Horton Agne Janusauskaite Bill Kellner Moritz U G Kraemer Keira J Lucas Johana Medina Rachel Morreale William Petrie Robert C Reiner Michael T Riles Henrik Salje David L Smith John P Smith Amy Solis Jason Stuck Chalmers Vasquez Katie F Williams Rui-De Xue Derek A T Cummings |
| author_facet | Bingyi Yang Brooke A Borgert Barry W Alto Carl K Boohene Joe Brew Kelly Deutsch James T DeValerio Rhoel R Dinglasan Daniel Dixon Joseph M Faella Sandra L Fisher-Grainger Gregory E Glass Reginald Hayes David F Hoel Austin Horton Agne Janusauskaite Bill Kellner Moritz U G Kraemer Keira J Lucas Johana Medina Rachel Morreale William Petrie Robert C Reiner Michael T Riles Henrik Salje David L Smith John P Smith Amy Solis Jason Stuck Chalmers Vasquez Katie F Williams Rui-De Xue Derek A T Cummings |
| author_sort | Bingyi Yang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Florida faces the challenge of repeated introduction and autochthonous transmission of arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Empirically-based predictive models of the spatial distribution of these species would aid surveillance and vector control efforts. To predict the occurrence and abundance of these species, we fit a mixed-effects zero-inflated negative binomial regression to a mosquito surveillance dataset with records from more than 200,000 trap days, representative of 53% of the land area and ranging from 2004 to 2018 in Florida. We found an asymmetrical competitive interaction between adult populations of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus for the sampled sites. Wind speed was negatively associated with the occurrence and abundance of both vectors. Our model predictions show high accuracy (72.9% to 94.5%) in validation tests leaving out a random 10% subset of sites and data since 2017, suggesting a potential for predicting the distribution of the two Aedes vectors. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-76b16f7962fe44dc938ecce38d1e7857 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1935-2727 1935-2735 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-03-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases |
| spelling | doaj-art-76b16f7962fe44dc938ecce38d1e78572025-08-20T03:47:07ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases1935-27271935-27352021-03-01153e000906310.1371/journal.pntd.0009063Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition.Bingyi YangBrooke A BorgertBarry W AltoCarl K BooheneJoe BrewKelly DeutschJames T DeValerioRhoel R DinglasanDaniel DixonJoseph M FaellaSandra L Fisher-GraingerGregory E GlassReginald HayesDavid F HoelAustin HortonAgne JanusauskaiteBill KellnerMoritz U G KraemerKeira J LucasJohana MedinaRachel MorrealeWilliam PetrieRobert C ReinerMichael T RilesHenrik SaljeDavid L SmithJohn P SmithAmy SolisJason StuckChalmers VasquezKatie F WilliamsRui-De XueDerek A T CummingsFlorida faces the challenge of repeated introduction and autochthonous transmission of arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Empirically-based predictive models of the spatial distribution of these species would aid surveillance and vector control efforts. To predict the occurrence and abundance of these species, we fit a mixed-effects zero-inflated negative binomial regression to a mosquito surveillance dataset with records from more than 200,000 trap days, representative of 53% of the land area and ranging from 2004 to 2018 in Florida. We found an asymmetrical competitive interaction between adult populations of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus for the sampled sites. Wind speed was negatively associated with the occurrence and abundance of both vectors. Our model predictions show high accuracy (72.9% to 94.5%) in validation tests leaving out a random 10% subset of sites and data since 2017, suggesting a potential for predicting the distribution of the two Aedes vectors.https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0009063&type=printable |
| spellingShingle | Bingyi Yang Brooke A Borgert Barry W Alto Carl K Boohene Joe Brew Kelly Deutsch James T DeValerio Rhoel R Dinglasan Daniel Dixon Joseph M Faella Sandra L Fisher-Grainger Gregory E Glass Reginald Hayes David F Hoel Austin Horton Agne Janusauskaite Bill Kellner Moritz U G Kraemer Keira J Lucas Johana Medina Rachel Morreale William Petrie Robert C Reiner Michael T Riles Henrik Salje David L Smith John P Smith Amy Solis Jason Stuck Chalmers Vasquez Katie F Williams Rui-De Xue Derek A T Cummings Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases |
| title | Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. |
| title_full | Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. |
| title_fullStr | Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. |
| title_short | Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. |
| title_sort | modelling distributions of aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus using climate host density and interspecies competition |
| url | https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0009063&type=printable |
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