Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation

Abstract Understanding subsurface temperature variations is crucial for assessing material degradation in underground structures. This study maps subsurface temperatures across the contiguous United States for depths from 50 to 3500 m, comparing linear interpolation, gradient boosting (LightGBM), ne...

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Main Authors: Jonathan E. Gordon, Olatunde D. Akanbi, Deepa C. Bhuvanagiri, Hope E. Omodolor, Vibha Mandayam, Roger H. French, Jeffrey M. Yarus, Erika I. Barcelos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-85050-3
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author Jonathan E. Gordon
Olatunde D. Akanbi
Deepa C. Bhuvanagiri
Hope E. Omodolor
Vibha Mandayam
Roger H. French
Jeffrey M. Yarus
Erika I. Barcelos
author_facet Jonathan E. Gordon
Olatunde D. Akanbi
Deepa C. Bhuvanagiri
Hope E. Omodolor
Vibha Mandayam
Roger H. French
Jeffrey M. Yarus
Erika I. Barcelos
author_sort Jonathan E. Gordon
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Understanding subsurface temperature variations is crucial for assessing material degradation in underground structures. This study maps subsurface temperatures across the contiguous United States for depths from 50 to 3500 m, comparing linear interpolation, gradient boosting (LightGBM), neural networks, and a novel hybrid approach combining linear interpolation with LightGBM. Results reveal heterogeneous temperature patterns both horizontally and vertically. The hybrid model performed best achieving a root mean square error of 2.61 °C at shallow depths (50–350 m). Model performance generally decreased with depth, highlighting challenges in deep temperature prediction. State-level analyses emphasized the importance of considering local geological factors. This study provides valuable insights for designing efficient underground facilities and infrastructure, underscoring the need for depth-specific and region-specific modeling approaches in subsurface temperature assessment.
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spelling doaj-art-72db15415fc6486f85be75e7b4e68bf62025-01-12T12:15:13ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111410.1038/s41598-024-85050-3Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradationJonathan E. Gordon0Olatunde D. Akanbi1Deepa C. Bhuvanagiri2Hope E. Omodolor3Vibha Mandayam4Roger H. French5Jeffrey M. Yarus6Erika I. Barcelos7Materials Data Science for Stockpile Stewardship: Center of Excellence, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Materials Science, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Computer and Data Sciences, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Computer and Data Sciences, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Materials Science, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Materials Science, Case Western Reserve UniversityDepartment of Materials Science, Case Western Reserve UniversityAbstract Understanding subsurface temperature variations is crucial for assessing material degradation in underground structures. This study maps subsurface temperatures across the contiguous United States for depths from 50 to 3500 m, comparing linear interpolation, gradient boosting (LightGBM), neural networks, and a novel hybrid approach combining linear interpolation with LightGBM. Results reveal heterogeneous temperature patterns both horizontally and vertically. The hybrid model performed best achieving a root mean square error of 2.61 °C at shallow depths (50–350 m). Model performance generally decreased with depth, highlighting challenges in deep temperature prediction. State-level analyses emphasized the importance of considering local geological factors. This study provides valuable insights for designing efficient underground facilities and infrastructure, underscoring the need for depth-specific and region-specific modeling approaches in subsurface temperature assessment.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-85050-3Subsurface temperatureTemperature interpolationGeothermal gradientKrigingLightGBMMachine learning
spellingShingle Jonathan E. Gordon
Olatunde D. Akanbi
Deepa C. Bhuvanagiri
Hope E. Omodolor
Vibha Mandayam
Roger H. French
Jeffrey M. Yarus
Erika I. Barcelos
Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
Scientific Reports
Subsurface temperature
Temperature interpolation
Geothermal gradient
Kriging
LightGBM
Machine learning
title Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
title_full Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
title_fullStr Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
title_full_unstemmed Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
title_short Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation
title_sort geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous united states for assessment of materials degradation
topic Subsurface temperature
Temperature interpolation
Geothermal gradient
Kriging
LightGBM
Machine learning
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-85050-3
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