Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates

Abstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The...

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Main Authors: Markus Salmelin, Hannu Karjunen, Jukka Lassila
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-10-01
Series:IET Renewable Power Generation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110
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author Markus Salmelin
Hannu Karjunen
Jukka Lassila
author_facet Markus Salmelin
Hannu Karjunen
Jukka Lassila
author_sort Markus Salmelin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The model uses historical ERA5 data and considers changes in weather patterns in a subarctic climate where seasonal changes are most pronounced. The power generation figures of using a mean and a dynamic air density value were compared and the results show that power generation estimates may be under‐ and overestimated by on average 5% up to 10% in winter and summer, respectively. This can have implications for the sizing of power transmission infrastructure and energy storage in both on‐grid and off‐grid applications as well as power availability. The topic is highly relevant in the Nordic countries where roughly 10% of new global added wind capacity is installed annually.
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institution Kabale University
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language English
publishDate 2024-10-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series IET Renewable Power Generation
spelling doaj-art-702a01cbd65b4bc6ae353ac66c832ad82025-01-10T17:41:03ZengWileyIET Renewable Power Generation1752-14161752-14242024-10-0118142658267110.1049/rpg2.13110Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climatesMarkus Salmelin0Hannu Karjunen1Jukka Lassila2School of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandSchool of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandSchool of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandAbstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The model uses historical ERA5 data and considers changes in weather patterns in a subarctic climate where seasonal changes are most pronounced. The power generation figures of using a mean and a dynamic air density value were compared and the results show that power generation estimates may be under‐ and overestimated by on average 5% up to 10% in winter and summer, respectively. This can have implications for the sizing of power transmission infrastructure and energy storage in both on‐grid and off‐grid applications as well as power availability. The topic is highly relevant in the Nordic countries where roughly 10% of new global added wind capacity is installed annually.https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110power system planningrenewable energy power conversiontemperature measurementwindwind powerwind turbines
spellingShingle Markus Salmelin
Hannu Karjunen
Jukka Lassila
Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
IET Renewable Power Generation
power system planning
renewable energy power conversion
temperature measurement
wind
wind power
wind turbines
title Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
title_full Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
title_fullStr Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
title_full_unstemmed Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
title_short Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
title_sort effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in nordic climates
topic power system planning
renewable energy power conversion
temperature measurement
wind
wind power
wind turbines
url https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110
work_keys_str_mv AT markussalmelin effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates
AT hannukarjunen effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates
AT jukkalassila effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates