Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates
Abstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The...
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Language: | English |
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Wiley
2024-10-01
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Series: | IET Renewable Power Generation |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110 |
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author | Markus Salmelin Hannu Karjunen Jukka Lassila |
author_facet | Markus Salmelin Hannu Karjunen Jukka Lassila |
author_sort | Markus Salmelin |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The model uses historical ERA5 data and considers changes in weather patterns in a subarctic climate where seasonal changes are most pronounced. The power generation figures of using a mean and a dynamic air density value were compared and the results show that power generation estimates may be under‐ and overestimated by on average 5% up to 10% in winter and summer, respectively. This can have implications for the sizing of power transmission infrastructure and energy storage in both on‐grid and off‐grid applications as well as power availability. The topic is highly relevant in the Nordic countries where roughly 10% of new global added wind capacity is installed annually. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-702a01cbd65b4bc6ae353ac66c832ad8 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1752-1416 1752-1424 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-10-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | IET Renewable Power Generation |
spelling | doaj-art-702a01cbd65b4bc6ae353ac66c832ad82025-01-10T17:41:03ZengWileyIET Renewable Power Generation1752-14161752-14242024-10-0118142658267110.1049/rpg2.13110Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climatesMarkus Salmelin0Hannu Karjunen1Jukka Lassila2School of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandSchool of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandSchool of Energy Systems Lappeenranta‐Lahti University of Technology Lappeenranta FinlandAbstract A major obstacle standing in the way of full‐scale adoption of renewable energy sources is their intermittency and seasonal variability. To better understand the power generation dynamics, the effect of air density due to temperature on power and energy generation figures was modelled. The model uses historical ERA5 data and considers changes in weather patterns in a subarctic climate where seasonal changes are most pronounced. The power generation figures of using a mean and a dynamic air density value were compared and the results show that power generation estimates may be under‐ and overestimated by on average 5% up to 10% in winter and summer, respectively. This can have implications for the sizing of power transmission infrastructure and energy storage in both on‐grid and off‐grid applications as well as power availability. The topic is highly relevant in the Nordic countries where roughly 10% of new global added wind capacity is installed annually.https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110power system planningrenewable energy power conversiontemperature measurementwindwind powerwind turbines |
spellingShingle | Markus Salmelin Hannu Karjunen Jukka Lassila Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates IET Renewable Power Generation power system planning renewable energy power conversion temperature measurement wind wind power wind turbines |
title | Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates |
title_full | Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates |
title_fullStr | Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates |
title_full_unstemmed | Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates |
title_short | Effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in Nordic climates |
title_sort | effect of temperature on seasonal wind power and energy potential estimates in nordic climates |
topic | power system planning renewable energy power conversion temperature measurement wind wind power wind turbines |
url | https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.13110 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT markussalmelin effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates AT hannukarjunen effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates AT jukkalassila effectoftemperatureonseasonalwindpowerandenergypotentialestimatesinnordicclimates |