Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters

This study aimed to identify key biomechanical and physiological parameters affecting cross-country skiing performance and develop a neural network model for predicting skiing speed. Biomechanical attributes (cycle length and rate, vertical displacement of the center of mass, and angular kinematics)...

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Main Authors: Huijuan Shi, Xiaolan Zhu, Shuang Zhao, Hans-Christer Holmberg, Hui Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/24/11488
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author Huijuan Shi
Xiaolan Zhu
Shuang Zhao
Hans-Christer Holmberg
Hui Liu
author_facet Huijuan Shi
Xiaolan Zhu
Shuang Zhao
Hans-Christer Holmberg
Hui Liu
author_sort Huijuan Shi
collection DOAJ
description This study aimed to identify key biomechanical and physiological parameters affecting cross-country skiing performance and develop a neural network model for predicting skiing speed. Biomechanical attributes (cycle length and rate, vertical displacement of the center of mass, and angular kinematics) and physiological factors (maximal oxygen uptake, 30 s anaerobic power), along with physical fitness (standing long jump, pull-ups) were assessed for 82 cross-country skiers (52 men and 30 women). Random forest analysis was utilized to identify the most influential parameters on skiing speed, which were subsequently used as input parameters to develop a neural network aimed at predicting this speed. The findings identified the primary predictors of skiing speed as the cycle length on both flat and uphill terrains, vertical displacement of the center of mass during the poling phase on uphill terrain, maximal oxygen uptake, and 30 s anaerobic power. The developed neural network model demonstrated high precision in predicting skiing speeds, evidenced by a strong correlation with actual speeds (correlation coefficient of 0.953) and 97.1% of predictions falling within the 95% Bland–Altman agreement limits, affirming the model’s reliability and effectiveness in forecasting skiing performance.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2076-3417
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publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Applied Sciences
spelling doaj-art-6fb9cb0f12ee4f0399c06dae277e0ffb2024-12-27T14:07:25ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-12-0114241148810.3390/app142411488Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological ParametersHuijuan Shi0Xiaolan Zhu1Shuang Zhao2Hans-Christer Holmberg3Hui Liu4Biomechanics Laboratory, College of Human Movement Science, Beijing Sport University, Beijing 100084, ChinaBiomechanics Laboratory, College of Human Movement Science, Beijing Sport University, Beijing 100084, ChinaBiomechanics Laboratory, College of Human Movement Science, Beijing Sport University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Health Sciences, Mid Sweden University, 85170 Östersund, SwedenBiomechanics Laboratory, College of Human Movement Science, Beijing Sport University, Beijing 100084, ChinaThis study aimed to identify key biomechanical and physiological parameters affecting cross-country skiing performance and develop a neural network model for predicting skiing speed. Biomechanical attributes (cycle length and rate, vertical displacement of the center of mass, and angular kinematics) and physiological factors (maximal oxygen uptake, 30 s anaerobic power), along with physical fitness (standing long jump, pull-ups) were assessed for 82 cross-country skiers (52 men and 30 women). Random forest analysis was utilized to identify the most influential parameters on skiing speed, which were subsequently used as input parameters to develop a neural network aimed at predicting this speed. The findings identified the primary predictors of skiing speed as the cycle length on both flat and uphill terrains, vertical displacement of the center of mass during the poling phase on uphill terrain, maximal oxygen uptake, and 30 s anaerobic power. The developed neural network model demonstrated high precision in predicting skiing speeds, evidenced by a strong correlation with actual speeds (correlation coefficient of 0.953) and 97.1% of predictions falling within the 95% Bland–Altman agreement limits, affirming the model’s reliability and effectiveness in forecasting skiing performance.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/24/11488skiing performancekinematicsevaluationneural network
spellingShingle Huijuan Shi
Xiaolan Zhu
Shuang Zhao
Hans-Christer Holmberg
Hui Liu
Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
Applied Sciences
skiing performance
kinematics
evaluation
neural network
title Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
title_full Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
title_fullStr Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
title_short Predicting the Speed of Chinese Elite Cross-Country Skiers: A Neural Network Approach Based on the Measurement of Key Biomechanical and Physiological Parameters
title_sort predicting the speed of chinese elite cross country skiers a neural network approach based on the measurement of key biomechanical and physiological parameters
topic skiing performance
kinematics
evaluation
neural network
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/24/11488
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