Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.

This paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in...

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Main Authors: Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio, Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya, Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach, Horacio Tapia-McClung, Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855
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author Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio
Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach
Horacio Tapia-McClung
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
author_facet Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio
Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach
Horacio Tapia-McClung
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
author_sort Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio
collection DOAJ
description This paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in discrete models has been relatively unexplored. Our study addresses this need by developing a robust statistical framework specifically for discrete distributions, particularly the geometric distribution. We provide extensive tables of asymptotic critical values for these tests and demonstrate their practical relevance through a financial case study. Specifically, we apply these tests to analyze price runs derived from daily time series of NASDAQ, DJIA, Nikkei 225, and the Mexican IPC indices, covering the period from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022. This work broadens the range of available tools for assessing goodness-of-fit in discrete models, which are essential for applications in finance and beyond. The Python programs developed for this paper are available to the academic community.
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institution Kabale University
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language English
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publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-6e4002210a244d1c9b88e2e60eabb5262025-01-08T05:32:12ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-011912e031585510.1371/journal.pone.0315855Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.Héctor Francisco Coronel-BrizioAlejandro Raúl Hernández-MontoyaManuel Enrique Rodríguez-AchachHoracio Tapia-McClungJuan Evangelista Trinidad-SegoviaThis paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in discrete models has been relatively unexplored. Our study addresses this need by developing a robust statistical framework specifically for discrete distributions, particularly the geometric distribution. We provide extensive tables of asymptotic critical values for these tests and demonstrate their practical relevance through a financial case study. Specifically, we apply these tests to analyze price runs derived from daily time series of NASDAQ, DJIA, Nikkei 225, and the Mexican IPC indices, covering the period from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022. This work broadens the range of available tools for assessing goodness-of-fit in discrete models, which are essential for applications in finance and beyond. The Python programs developed for this paper are available to the academic community.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855
spellingShingle Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio
Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach
Horacio Tapia-McClung
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
PLoS ONE
title Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
title_full Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
title_fullStr Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
title_full_unstemmed Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
title_short Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
title_sort anderson darling and watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855
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