Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.
This paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2024-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855 |
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author | Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach Horacio Tapia-McClung Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia |
author_facet | Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach Horacio Tapia-McClung Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia |
author_sort | Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in discrete models has been relatively unexplored. Our study addresses this need by developing a robust statistical framework specifically for discrete distributions, particularly the geometric distribution. We provide extensive tables of asymptotic critical values for these tests and demonstrate their practical relevance through a financial case study. Specifically, we apply these tests to analyze price runs derived from daily time series of NASDAQ, DJIA, Nikkei 225, and the Mexican IPC indices, covering the period from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022. This work broadens the range of available tools for assessing goodness-of-fit in discrete models, which are essential for applications in finance and beyond. The Python programs developed for this paper are available to the academic community. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-6e4002210a244d1c9b88e2e60eabb526 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1932-6203 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
record_format | Article |
series | PLoS ONE |
spelling | doaj-art-6e4002210a244d1c9b88e2e60eabb5262025-01-08T05:32:12ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-011912e031585510.1371/journal.pone.0315855Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success.Héctor Francisco Coronel-BrizioAlejandro Raúl Hernández-MontoyaManuel Enrique Rodríguez-AchachHoracio Tapia-McClungJuan Evangelista Trinidad-SegoviaThis paper introduces two new goodness-of-fit tests for the geometric distribution based on discrete adaptations of the Watson W2 and Anderson-Darling A2 statistics, where the probability of success is unknown. Although these tests are widely applied to continuous distributions, their application in discrete models has been relatively unexplored. Our study addresses this need by developing a robust statistical framework specifically for discrete distributions, particularly the geometric distribution. We provide extensive tables of asymptotic critical values for these tests and demonstrate their practical relevance through a financial case study. Specifically, we apply these tests to analyze price runs derived from daily time series of NASDAQ, DJIA, Nikkei 225, and the Mexican IPC indices, covering the period from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022. This work broadens the range of available tools for assessing goodness-of-fit in discrete models, which are essential for applications in finance and beyond. The Python programs developed for this paper are available to the academic community.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855 |
spellingShingle | Héctor Francisco Coronel-Brizio Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya Manuel Enrique Rodríguez-Achach Horacio Tapia-McClung Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. PLoS ONE |
title | Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. |
title_full | Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. |
title_fullStr | Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. |
title_full_unstemmed | Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. |
title_short | Anderson-Darling and Watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success. |
title_sort | anderson darling and watson tests for the geometric distribution with estimated probability of success |
url | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315855 |
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