Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children
Abstract Objective Postoperative tracheostomy is a significant complication following medulloblastoma (MB) resection. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for postoperative tracheostomy requirement in children undergoing MB surgical resection. This model was derived as a side product of a...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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BMC
2025-01-01
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| Series: | BMC Research Notes |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07085-7 |
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| author | Sina Zoghi Zahra Tabesh Ali Ansari Omid Yousefi Mohammad Sadegh Masoudi Reza Taheri |
| author_facet | Sina Zoghi Zahra Tabesh Ali Ansari Omid Yousefi Mohammad Sadegh Masoudi Reza Taheri |
| author_sort | Sina Zoghi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Objective Postoperative tracheostomy is a significant complication following medulloblastoma (MB) resection. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for postoperative tracheostomy requirement in children undergoing MB surgical resection. This model was derived as a side product of a larger research project analyzing surgical outcomes in pediatric MB patients. Results Forty-five patients (26%) required tracheostomy postoperatively. Using multivariable logistic regression, five models were developed, and the final model was selected based on performance and simplicity. The simplified version included two predictors: preoperative brainstem invasion and postoperative brainstem contusion, each contributing equally to the score. The model demonstrated an AUC of 0.845. Predicted risks of requiring a tracheostomy were 5.8%, 57.7%, and 75% for scores of 0, 1, and 2, respectively. This tool provides clinicians with a quantitative approach to assess tracheostomy risk, improving decision-making and patient management. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6cc6d6a804134d5e83c7f47ba0e91cbb |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1756-0500 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | BMC |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMC Research Notes |
| spelling | doaj-art-6cc6d6a804134d5e83c7f47ba0e91cbb2025-01-12T12:06:47ZengBMCBMC Research Notes1756-05002025-01-011811610.1186/s13104-025-07085-7Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in childrenSina Zoghi0Zahra Tabesh1Ali Ansari2Omid Yousefi3Mohammad Sadegh Masoudi4Reza Taheri5Department of Neurosurgery, Shiraz University of Medical SciencesNoncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Fasa University of Medical SciencesStudent Research Committee, Shiraz University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Neurosurgery, Shiraz University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Neurosurgery, Shiraz University of Medical SciencesShiraz Neuroscience Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical SciencesAbstract Objective Postoperative tracheostomy is a significant complication following medulloblastoma (MB) resection. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for postoperative tracheostomy requirement in children undergoing MB surgical resection. This model was derived as a side product of a larger research project analyzing surgical outcomes in pediatric MB patients. Results Forty-five patients (26%) required tracheostomy postoperatively. Using multivariable logistic regression, five models were developed, and the final model was selected based on performance and simplicity. The simplified version included two predictors: preoperative brainstem invasion and postoperative brainstem contusion, each contributing equally to the score. The model demonstrated an AUC of 0.845. Predicted risks of requiring a tracheostomy were 5.8%, 57.7%, and 75% for scores of 0, 1, and 2, respectively. This tool provides clinicians with a quantitative approach to assess tracheostomy risk, improving decision-making and patient management.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07085-7MedulloblastomaTracheostomyRisk forecasting modelPrediction modelingBrainstem |
| spellingShingle | Sina Zoghi Zahra Tabesh Ali Ansari Omid Yousefi Mohammad Sadegh Masoudi Reza Taheri Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children BMC Research Notes Medulloblastoma Tracheostomy Risk forecasting model Prediction modeling Brainstem |
| title | Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| title_full | Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| title_fullStr | Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| title_full_unstemmed | Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| title_short | Development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| title_sort | development of a simple prediction model for tracheostomy requirement after surgical resection of medulloblastoma in children |
| topic | Medulloblastoma Tracheostomy Risk forecasting model Prediction modeling Brainstem |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07085-7 |
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