Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction

Introduction. The issues of risk and problem situations arising during the construction of nuclear power plants, as well as methods of response and prevention of such scenarios are considered. The available analogues of the developed system among the known information systems which carry out calcula...

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Main Authors: A. S. Pavlov, R. V. Ostrovskii
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) 2024-10-01
Series:Vestnik MGSU
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vestnikmgsu.ru/jour/article/view/401
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author A. S. Pavlov
R. V. Ostrovskii
author_facet A. S. Pavlov
R. V. Ostrovskii
author_sort A. S. Pavlov
collection DOAJ
description Introduction. The issues of risk and problem situations arising during the construction of nuclear power plants, as well as methods of response and prevention of such scenarios are considered. The available analogues of the developed system among the known information systems which carry out calculations of calendar-network models and construction completion forecasts are analyzed.Materials and methods. In particular, the methodology of creating a system of time reservation during the formation and approval of calendar-network schedules of construction and installation works is highlighted. A step-by-step plan of initial data preparation, necessary statistical analysis and direct calculation of time reserves by Monte-Carlo method using the software package of the same name developed within the framework of the current research is presented. As the initial data, the information of the analysis of disruption of the deadlines of already completed works at reference NPP with a certain classification, as well as the results of an expert survey on the influence of internal and external factors on the duration of plant construction are used.Results. Examples of using the development within the process of managing the construction schedule of El-Dabaa NPP in the Arab Republic of Egypt are described. The possibility of applying this methodology at different levels of project management is indicated.Conclusions. A generalized conclusion on the issue of determining the duration of construction of nuclear power plants taking into account the formation of time reserves for work schedules, a step-by-step plan for calculating time reserves and positive approbation of the methodology for NPP construction is formulated.
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spelling doaj-art-6c2a29d0173d496d9e91983ce081272b2025-01-09T08:22:50ZengMoscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU)Vestnik MGSU1997-09352304-66002024-10-0119101687169510.22227/1997-0935.2024.10.1687-1695185Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP constructionA. S. Pavlov0R. V. Ostrovskii1Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (National Research University) (MGSU)Atomstroyexport (ASE)Introduction. The issues of risk and problem situations arising during the construction of nuclear power plants, as well as methods of response and prevention of such scenarios are considered. The available analogues of the developed system among the known information systems which carry out calculations of calendar-network models and construction completion forecasts are analyzed.Materials and methods. In particular, the methodology of creating a system of time reservation during the formation and approval of calendar-network schedules of construction and installation works is highlighted. A step-by-step plan of initial data preparation, necessary statistical analysis and direct calculation of time reserves by Monte-Carlo method using the software package of the same name developed within the framework of the current research is presented. As the initial data, the information of the analysis of disruption of the deadlines of already completed works at reference NPP with a certain classification, as well as the results of an expert survey on the influence of internal and external factors on the duration of plant construction are used.Results. Examples of using the development within the process of managing the construction schedule of El-Dabaa NPP in the Arab Republic of Egypt are described. The possibility of applying this methodology at different levels of project management is indicated.Conclusions. A generalized conclusion on the issue of determining the duration of construction of nuclear power plants taking into account the formation of time reserves for work schedules, a step-by-step plan for calculating time reserves and positive approbation of the methodology for NPP construction is formulated.https://www.vestnikmgsu.ru/jour/article/view/401npp constructionconstruction timeschedule-network planningcritical pathtime reserve calculation methodologymonte-carlo methodmonte-carlo networktotal time reserve
spellingShingle A. S. Pavlov
R. V. Ostrovskii
Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
Vestnik MGSU
npp construction
construction time
schedule-network planning
critical path
time reserve calculation methodology
monte-carlo method
monte-carlo network
total time reserve
title Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
title_full Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
title_fullStr Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
title_full_unstemmed Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
title_short Methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of NPP construction
title_sort methodology of calculation of time reserves when planning the duration of npp construction
topic npp construction
construction time
schedule-network planning
critical path
time reserve calculation methodology
monte-carlo method
monte-carlo network
total time reserve
url https://www.vestnikmgsu.ru/jour/article/view/401
work_keys_str_mv AT aspavlov methodologyofcalculationoftimereserveswhenplanningthedurationofnppconstruction
AT rvostrovskii methodologyofcalculationoftimereserveswhenplanningthedurationofnppconstruction