Predictability of Extreme Waves in the Lorenz-96 Model Near Intermittency and Quasi-Periodicity
We introduce a method for quantifying the predictability of the event that the evolution of a deterministic dynamical system enters a specific subset of state space at a given lead time. The main idea is to study the distribution of finite-time growth rates of errors in initial conditions along the...
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Main Authors: | A. E. Sterk, D. L. van Kekem |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wiley
2017-01-01
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Series: | Complexity |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/9419024 |
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