Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization

Availability is the key system effectiveness measure in process industries, manufacturing plants, and treatment plants like sewage, e-waste etc. The nut-bolt manufacturing industry is very prominent in manufacturing sector. The present work is proposed with a motto to develop a stochastic framework...

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Main Authors: Naveen Kumar, Ashish Kumar, Deepak Sinwar, Monika Saini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Statistical Society 2024-12-01
Series:Austrian Journal of Statistics
Online Access:https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1922
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author Naveen Kumar
Ashish Kumar
Deepak Sinwar
Monika Saini
author_facet Naveen Kumar
Ashish Kumar
Deepak Sinwar
Monika Saini
author_sort Naveen Kumar
collection DOAJ
description Availability is the key system effectiveness measure in process industries, manufacturing plants, and treatment plants like sewage, e-waste etc. The nut-bolt manufacturing industry is very prominent in manufacturing sector. The present work is proposed with a motto to develop a stochastic framework for a nut manufacturing plant to derive steady state availability and its optimization. The Markov birth death approach is applied to develop the stochastic model as well as Chapman-Kolmogorov differential difference equations of the system. The availability function derived using Markov approach is treated as objective function of the optimization problem having decision parameters as failure and repair rates. All the decision variables are considered as exponentially distributed which are i.i.d. in nature. The objective function is optimized using particle swarm optimization to predict the optimal availability and estimated parametric values. The most sensitive component of the system is observed through making variation in failure and repair rates. It is revealed that PSO predicts the optimal availability 0.9999 at population size 50 after 50 iterations. The convergence rate of PSO is very fast in prediction of the availability of nut manufacturing plant. These findings are beneficial for system designers and maintenance engineers to propose the maintenance strategies. The proposed methodology can be utilized to predict the availability of other process industries.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-597X
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series Austrian Journal of Statistics
spelling doaj-art-69de4790afe84ab5a54db69737fe24262025-01-13T07:12:24ZengAustrian Statistical SocietyAustrian Journal of Statistics1026-597X2024-12-0153510.17713/ajs.v53i5.1922Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm OptimizationNaveen Kumar0Ashish Kumar1Deepak SinwarMonika SainiManipal University JaipurManipal University Jaipur Availability is the key system effectiveness measure in process industries, manufacturing plants, and treatment plants like sewage, e-waste etc. The nut-bolt manufacturing industry is very prominent in manufacturing sector. The present work is proposed with a motto to develop a stochastic framework for a nut manufacturing plant to derive steady state availability and its optimization. The Markov birth death approach is applied to develop the stochastic model as well as Chapman-Kolmogorov differential difference equations of the system. The availability function derived using Markov approach is treated as objective function of the optimization problem having decision parameters as failure and repair rates. All the decision variables are considered as exponentially distributed which are i.i.d. in nature. The objective function is optimized using particle swarm optimization to predict the optimal availability and estimated parametric values. The most sensitive component of the system is observed through making variation in failure and repair rates. It is revealed that PSO predicts the optimal availability 0.9999 at population size 50 after 50 iterations. The convergence rate of PSO is very fast in prediction of the availability of nut manufacturing plant. These findings are beneficial for system designers and maintenance engineers to propose the maintenance strategies. The proposed methodology can be utilized to predict the availability of other process industries. https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1922
spellingShingle Naveen Kumar
Ashish Kumar
Deepak Sinwar
Monika Saini
Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
Austrian Journal of Statistics
title Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
title_full Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
title_fullStr Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
title_short Stochastic Modeling and Availability Optimization of Nuts Manufacturing Plant Using Markov Process and Particle Swarm Optimization
title_sort stochastic modeling and availability optimization of nuts manufacturing plant using markov process and particle swarm optimization
url https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1922
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AT deepaksinwar stochasticmodelingandavailabilityoptimizationofnutsmanufacturingplantusingmarkovprocessandparticleswarmoptimization
AT monikasaini stochasticmodelingandavailabilityoptimizationofnutsmanufacturingplantusingmarkovprocessandparticleswarmoptimization