AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION

The article presents a comparative statistical analysis of change the model of fertility and the survival regime population in Ukraine and some Eastern Europe countries. The scenarios of medium-term forecasts the demographic behavior of Ukrainian population has been carried out. The results of stati...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Z. Palian
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv 2014-04-01
Series:Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Серія Економіка
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Online Access:http://bulletin-econom.univ.kiev.ua/wp-content/plugins/download-attachments/includes/download.php?id=1581
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Summary:The article presents a comparative statistical analysis of change the model of fertility and the survival regime population in Ukraine and some Eastern Europe countries. The scenarios of medium-term forecasts the demographic behavior of Ukrainian population has been carried out. The results of statistical modeling the characteristics of natural population replacement allow to estimate the character of possible changes and also to correct strategy of state demographic policy in Ukraine.
ISSN:1728-2667
2079-908X