Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation

Taking the upper reaches of the Liuchong River in Guizhou Province as the study area,this paper first analyzes the trend and abrupt change of the annual runoff at Qixingguan Station in the Liuchong River by the Mann-Kendall test and Pettitt test to find the abrupt change points,then,discusses the re...

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Main Authors: LONG Da, DONG Qianjin, YANG Rongfang
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2021-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.10.005
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author LONG Da
DONG Qianjin
YANG Rongfang
author_facet LONG Da
DONG Qianjin
YANG Rongfang
author_sort LONG Da
collection DOAJ
description Taking the upper reaches of the Liuchong River in Guizhou Province as the study area,this paper first analyzes the trend and abrupt change of the annual runoff at Qixingguan Station in the Liuchong River by the Mann-Kendall test and Pettitt test to find the abrupt change points,then,discusses the reasons of runoff change before and after the abrupt change points by the coupled water-energy balance equation,finally,calculates the contribution rates of precipitation,potential evapotranspiration and underlying surface to runoff change through the sensitivity analysis of their elastic coefficients.The results show that:The depth of runoff in the upper reaches of the Liuchong River shows a significant downward trend from 1971 to 2009,and a significant abrupt change occurred in 1986.By comparing the sensitivity of precipitation,potential evapotranspiration,and underlying surface to runoff change,it is found that the elastic coefficient of precipitation is the highest,followed by the underlying surface index,and finally the potential evapotranspiration,indicating that runoff is the most sensitive to the change of precipitation.In addition,based on the results of the contribution rate of the three factors to the reduction of runoff,it is found that the contribution rate of decreasing precipitation to runoff reduction is as high as 113.3%,followed by the change of underlying surface,with a contribution rate of 14.4% and finally the increasing potential evapotranspiration,with a contribution rate of -27.7%.
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issn 1001-9235
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
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spelling doaj-art-628b93d4c5ae498ba76b602d519e1b7b2025-01-15T02:28:12ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352021-01-014247646419Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance EquationLONG DaDONG QianjinYANG RongfangTaking the upper reaches of the Liuchong River in Guizhou Province as the study area,this paper first analyzes the trend and abrupt change of the annual runoff at Qixingguan Station in the Liuchong River by the Mann-Kendall test and Pettitt test to find the abrupt change points,then,discusses the reasons of runoff change before and after the abrupt change points by the coupled water-energy balance equation,finally,calculates the contribution rates of precipitation,potential evapotranspiration and underlying surface to runoff change through the sensitivity analysis of their elastic coefficients.The results show that:The depth of runoff in the upper reaches of the Liuchong River shows a significant downward trend from 1971 to 2009,and a significant abrupt change occurred in 1986.By comparing the sensitivity of precipitation,potential evapotranspiration,and underlying surface to runoff change,it is found that the elastic coefficient of precipitation is the highest,followed by the underlying surface index,and finally the potential evapotranspiration,indicating that runoff is the most sensitive to the change of precipitation.In addition,based on the results of the contribution rate of the three factors to the reduction of runoff,it is found that the contribution rate of decreasing precipitation to runoff reduction is as high as 113.3%,followed by the change of underlying surface,with a contribution rate of 14.4% and finally the increasing potential evapotranspiration,with a contribution rate of -27.7%.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.10.005runoff changeattribution analysiscoupled water-energy balance equationupper reaches of the Liuchong River Basin
spellingShingle LONG Da
DONG Qianjin
YANG Rongfang
Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
Renmin Zhujiang
runoff change
attribution analysis
coupled water-energy balance equation
upper reaches of the Liuchong River Basin
title Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
title_full Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
title_fullStr Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
title_full_unstemmed Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
title_short Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change in the Upper Reaches of the Liuchong River Basin Based on Coupled Water-energy Balance Equation
title_sort attribution analysis of runoff change in the upper reaches of the liuchong river basin based on coupled water energy balance equation
topic runoff change
attribution analysis
coupled water-energy balance equation
upper reaches of the Liuchong River Basin
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.10.005
work_keys_str_mv AT longda attributionanalysisofrunoffchangeintheupperreachesoftheliuchongriverbasinbasedoncoupledwaterenergybalanceequation
AT dongqianjin attributionanalysisofrunoffchangeintheupperreachesoftheliuchongriverbasinbasedoncoupledwaterenergybalanceequation
AT yangrongfang attributionanalysisofrunoffchangeintheupperreachesoftheliuchongriverbasinbasedoncoupledwaterenergybalanceequation