IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET

This study explores the impact of economic policy uncertainty on herd behaviour in the Chinese stock market. As economic policy uncertainty increases, market information becomes highly chaotic and complex, making reliable information scarce and challenging for investors to make independent decision...

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Main Authors: Lu Wei, Zamri Ahmad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Utara Malaysia 2025-07-01
Series:The International Journal of Banking and Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijbf/article/view/25133
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author Lu Wei
Zamri Ahmad
author_facet Lu Wei
Zamri Ahmad
author_sort Lu Wei
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the impact of economic policy uncertainty on herd behaviour in the Chinese stock market. As economic policy uncertainty increases, market information becomes highly chaotic and complex, making reliable information scarce and challenging for investors to make independent decisions. Particularly in the Chinese stock market, where retail investors dominate and generally lack professional financial knowledge and deep market analysis skills, these investors are more likely to mimic the behaviours of other market participants. Using monthly data from January 2011 to December 2023, and employing panel regression for empirical analysis, this research aims to explore the specific effects and mechanisms of economic policy uncertainty on herd behaviour, addressing a gap in the existing literature regarding how economic policy uncertainty directly influences investor behaviour in terms of manner and extent. The study's findings indicate that economic policy uncertainty has a significant and varied impact on herding behaviour across different market segments. Specifically, economic policy uncertainty significantly promotes herding behaviour in the Science and Technology Innovation Board, while it inhibits herding behaviour in the Main Board. Economic policy uncertainty also inhibits herding behaviour in the ChiNext, but not as significantly as in the Main Board. This diversity in impact highlights the complex nature of economic policy uncertainty's influence on herd behaviour.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2811-3799
2590-423X
language English
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spelling doaj-art-6248488b7dfe4ffb82a5c8026f2155a52025-08-20T03:58:06ZengUniversiti Utara MalaysiaThe International Journal of Banking and Finance2811-37992590-423X2025-07-0120210.32890/ijbf2025.20.2.1IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKETLu Wei0Zamri Ahmad1School of Management, Universiti Sains MalaysiaSchool of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia This study explores the impact of economic policy uncertainty on herd behaviour in the Chinese stock market. As economic policy uncertainty increases, market information becomes highly chaotic and complex, making reliable information scarce and challenging for investors to make independent decisions. Particularly in the Chinese stock market, where retail investors dominate and generally lack professional financial knowledge and deep market analysis skills, these investors are more likely to mimic the behaviours of other market participants. Using monthly data from January 2011 to December 2023, and employing panel regression for empirical analysis, this research aims to explore the specific effects and mechanisms of economic policy uncertainty on herd behaviour, addressing a gap in the existing literature regarding how economic policy uncertainty directly influences investor behaviour in terms of manner and extent. The study's findings indicate that economic policy uncertainty has a significant and varied impact on herding behaviour across different market segments. Specifically, economic policy uncertainty significantly promotes herding behaviour in the Science and Technology Innovation Board, while it inhibits herding behaviour in the Main Board. Economic policy uncertainty also inhibits herding behaviour in the ChiNext, but not as significantly as in the Main Board. This diversity in impact highlights the complex nature of economic policy uncertainty's influence on herd behaviour. https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijbf/article/view/25133Economic policy uncertaintyherdingstock market
spellingShingle Lu Wei
Zamri Ahmad
IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
The International Journal of Banking and Finance
Economic policy uncertainty
herding
stock market
title IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
title_full IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
title_fullStr IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
title_full_unstemmed IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
title_short IMPACT OF ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON HERD BEHAVIOR IN CHINA STOCK MARKET
title_sort impact of economic policy uncertainty on herd behavior in china stock market
topic Economic policy uncertainty
herding
stock market
url https://e-journal.uum.edu.my/index.php/ijbf/article/view/25133
work_keys_str_mv AT luwei impactofeconomicpolicyuncertaintyonherdbehaviorinchinastockmarket
AT zamriahmad impactofeconomicpolicyuncertaintyonherdbehaviorinchinastockmarket