Twin Deficits: Evidence From Portugal, Italy, Spain and Greece

Abstract Since the mid-2000s, internal and external imbalances have increased in many EU countries. This contributed to the debate over whether government budget deficits affect current account deficits, known as twin deficits hypothesis. It implies that public debt is actually a burden for future t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Konstantinos P. Panousis, Minoas Koukouritakis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2020-10-01
Series:Intereconomics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-020-0924-y
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Summary:Abstract Since the mid-2000s, internal and external imbalances have increased in many EU countries. This contributed to the debate over whether government budget deficits affect current account deficits, known as twin deficits hypothesis. It implies that public debt is actually a burden for future taxpayers and thus a dangerous way for budget financing. Therefore, the fiscal measures implemented by policymakers may also affect the current account. This article tests the twin deficits hypothesis for Portugal, Italy, Spain and Greece for the period 1999–2017. The empirical analysis presented in the article finds evidence that strongly supports this hypothesis only for Italy and Greece. For Portugal and Spain, however, the evidence is quite weak.
ISSN:0020-5346
1613-964X