Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges

The risk of tsunami threatens the whole Caribbean coastline and especially the Lesser Antilles. The available models of tsunami propagation estimate that the travel time from the closest seismic sources would only take a few minutes to impact the Martinique Island. Considering this high threat, the...

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Main Authors: Frédéric Leone, Mathieu Péroche, Rafaëlle Gutton
Format: Article
Language:fra
Published: Éditions en environnement VertigO 2014-09-01
Series:VertigO
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.openedition.org/vertigo/15046
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author Frédéric Leone
Mathieu Péroche
Rafaëlle Gutton
author_facet Frédéric Leone
Mathieu Péroche
Rafaëlle Gutton
author_sort Frédéric Leone
collection DOAJ
description The risk of tsunami threatens the whole Caribbean coastline and especially the Lesser Antilles. The available models of tsunami propagation estimate that the travel time from the closest seismic sources would only take a few minutes to impact the Martinique Island. Considering this high threat, the most effective measure is a planned and organized evacuation of the coastal population. This requires an efficient regional warning system, estimation of the maximum expected tsunami flood height, preparation of the population to evacuate, and drawing up of local and regional emergency plans. In this context, this paper proposes a methodology directly addressed to decision makers in order to optimize and map the evacuation sites and route using a pedestrian accessibility modeling. It is based on a population database at a local scale, the development of connected graphs of roads, the identification of potential safe areas and the velocity setting for pedestrians. Evacuation routes are calculated using the Dijkstra’s algorithm which gives the fastest path between areas at risk and designated evacuation sites. A first application allows us to map the theoretical times to keep safe the exposed population and to compare these with a tsunami travel time scenario for each commune of Martinique. A second application results in a local evacuation plan for the commune of Saint-Anne. This new prevention support was validated by an expert committee and constitute the first mapping of this kind in France. This calibrated and officially approved methodology will be asked to be developed on other countries, but as a priority on overseas french departments.
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spelling doaj-art-5e64dce4fb4c46c58d75b5474c7614e92025-01-09T12:41:01ZfraÉditions en environnement VertigOVertigO1492-84422014-09-0114210.4000/vertigo.15046Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refugesFrédéric LeoneMathieu PérocheRafaëlle GuttonThe risk of tsunami threatens the whole Caribbean coastline and especially the Lesser Antilles. The available models of tsunami propagation estimate that the travel time from the closest seismic sources would only take a few minutes to impact the Martinique Island. Considering this high threat, the most effective measure is a planned and organized evacuation of the coastal population. This requires an efficient regional warning system, estimation of the maximum expected tsunami flood height, preparation of the population to evacuate, and drawing up of local and regional emergency plans. In this context, this paper proposes a methodology directly addressed to decision makers in order to optimize and map the evacuation sites and route using a pedestrian accessibility modeling. It is based on a population database at a local scale, the development of connected graphs of roads, the identification of potential safe areas and the velocity setting for pedestrians. Evacuation routes are calculated using the Dijkstra’s algorithm which gives the fastest path between areas at risk and designated evacuation sites. A first application allows us to map the theoretical times to keep safe the exposed population and to compare these with a tsunami travel time scenario for each commune of Martinique. A second application results in a local evacuation plan for the commune of Saint-Anne. This new prevention support was validated by an expert committee and constitute the first mapping of this kind in France. This calibrated and officially approved methodology will be asked to be developed on other countries, but as a priority on overseas french departments.https://journals.openedition.org/vertigo/15046riskaccessibilityplanningMartiniqueLesser Antillestsunami
spellingShingle Frédéric Leone
Mathieu Péroche
Rafaëlle Gutton
Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
VertigO
risk
accessibility
planning
Martinique
Lesser Antilles
tsunami
title Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
title_full Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
title_fullStr Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
title_full_unstemmed Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
title_short Le risque tsunami en Martinique : planifier une évacuation préventive en optimisant l’accessibilité de sites refuges
title_sort le risque tsunami en martinique planifier une evacuation preventive en optimisant l accessibilite de sites refuges
topic risk
accessibility
planning
Martinique
Lesser Antilles
tsunami
url https://journals.openedition.org/vertigo/15046
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