Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment

GNSS technology utilizes satellite signals to determine the position of a point on Earth. Using this location information, the GNSS velocities of the points can be calculated. GNSS velocity accuracies are crucial for studies requiring high precision, as fault slip rates typically range within a few...

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Main Author: Halil İbrahim Solak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/113
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author Halil İbrahim Solak
author_facet Halil İbrahim Solak
author_sort Halil İbrahim Solak
collection DOAJ
description GNSS technology utilizes satellite signals to determine the position of a point on Earth. Using this location information, the GNSS velocities of the points can be calculated. GNSS velocity accuracies are crucial for studies requiring high precision, as fault slip rates typically range within a few millimeters per year. This study employs machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict GNSS velocity accuracies for fault slip rate estimation and earthquake hazard analysis. GNSS data from four CORS stations collected over 1-, 2-, and 3-year intervals with observation durations of 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 h, were analyzed to generate velocity estimates. Position accuracies, observation intervals, and corresponding velocity accuracies formed two datasets for the East and North components. ML models, including Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Multiple Linear Regression, were used to model the relationship between position and velocity accuracies. The findings reveal that the Random Forest, which makes more accurate and reliable predictions by evaluating many decision trees together, achieved over 90% accuracy for both components. Velocity accuracies of ±1.3 mm/year were obtained for 1-year interval data, while accuracies of ±0.6 mm/year were achieved for the 2- and 3-year intervals. Three campaigns were deemed sufficient for Holocene faults with higher slip rates. However, for Quaternary faults with lower slip rates, longer observation periods or additional campaigns are necessary to ensure reliable velocity estimates. This highlights the need for GNSS observation planning based on fault activity.
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spelling doaj-art-5c18801c9fa044159e949991768283452025-01-10T13:14:29ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-12-0115111310.3390/app15010113Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard AssessmentHalil İbrahim Solak0Distance Education Vocational School, Afyon Kocatepe University, Afyonkarahisar 03200, TürkiyeGNSS technology utilizes satellite signals to determine the position of a point on Earth. Using this location information, the GNSS velocities of the points can be calculated. GNSS velocity accuracies are crucial for studies requiring high precision, as fault slip rates typically range within a few millimeters per year. This study employs machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict GNSS velocity accuracies for fault slip rate estimation and earthquake hazard analysis. GNSS data from four CORS stations collected over 1-, 2-, and 3-year intervals with observation durations of 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 h, were analyzed to generate velocity estimates. Position accuracies, observation intervals, and corresponding velocity accuracies formed two datasets for the East and North components. ML models, including Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Multiple Linear Regression, were used to model the relationship between position and velocity accuracies. The findings reveal that the Random Forest, which makes more accurate and reliable predictions by evaluating many decision trees together, achieved over 90% accuracy for both components. Velocity accuracies of ±1.3 mm/year were obtained for 1-year interval data, while accuracies of ±0.6 mm/year were achieved for the 2- and 3-year intervals. Three campaigns were deemed sufficient for Holocene faults with higher slip rates. However, for Quaternary faults with lower slip rates, longer observation periods or additional campaigns are necessary to ensure reliable velocity estimates. This highlights the need for GNSS observation planning based on fault activity.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/113machine learningGNSS velocity accuracyGNSS position accuracyslip rate
spellingShingle Halil İbrahim Solak
Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
Applied Sciences
machine learning
GNSS velocity accuracy
GNSS position accuracy
slip rate
title Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
title_full Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
title_fullStr Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
title_short Prediction of GNSS Velocity Accuracies Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Active Fault Slip Rate Determination and Earthquake Hazard Assessment
title_sort prediction of gnss velocity accuracies using machine learning algorithms for active fault slip rate determination and earthquake hazard assessment
topic machine learning
GNSS velocity accuracy
GNSS position accuracy
slip rate
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/113
work_keys_str_mv AT halilibrahimsolak predictionofgnssvelocityaccuraciesusingmachinelearningalgorithmsforactivefaultslipratedeterminationandearthquakehazardassessment