Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China

Abstract Introduction While timely assessment of long‐term survival for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) is essential for evaluation on early detection and screening programs of colorectal cancer, those data are extremely scarce in China. We aimed to timely and accurately assess long‐term survi...

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Main Authors: Min Zhang, Yongran Cheng, Bicheng Chen, Runhua Li, Xiyi Jiang, Liangyou Wang, Tianhui Chen, Qi Liao, Jinfei Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-02-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5220
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author Min Zhang
Yongran Cheng
Bicheng Chen
Runhua Li
Xiyi Jiang
Liangyou Wang
Tianhui Chen
Qi Liao
Jinfei Chen
author_facet Min Zhang
Yongran Cheng
Bicheng Chen
Runhua Li
Xiyi Jiang
Liangyou Wang
Tianhui Chen
Qi Liao
Jinfei Chen
author_sort Min Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Introduction While timely assessment of long‐term survival for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) is essential for evaluation on early detection and screening programs of colorectal cancer, those data are extremely scarce in China. We aimed to timely and accurately assess long‐term survival for CRC patients in eastern China. Methods Patients diagnosed with CRC during 2004–2018 and followed up until December 31, 2018 from four cancer registries with high‐quality data from Taizhou, eastern China were included. Period analysis was used to calculate 5‐year relative survival (RS) for overall and the stratification by sex, age at diagnosis and region. The projected 5‐year RS of CRC patients during 2019–2023 was also assessed using a model‐based period analysis. Results Overall 5‐year RS for patients with CRC during 2014–2018 reached 78.8%, being 74.9% for men and 86.1% for women. 5‐year RS declined along with aging, decreasing from 84.1% for age < 45 years to 48.9% for age > 74 years, while 5‐year RS for urban area was higher compared to rural area (83.9% vs. 75.8%). Projected overall 5‐year RS of CRC patients could reach 85.9% during the upcoming period 2019–2023. Conclusions We provided, for first time in China using period analysis, most up‐to‐date 5‐year RS for patients with CRC from Taizhou, eastern China and also found 5‐year RS for CRC patients have improved greatly during 2004–2018.
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spelling doaj-art-57bb1b9de99b48e5b6f6a075f97ec3d02024-11-25T07:56:32ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342023-02-011233696370410.1002/cam4.5220Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern ChinaMin Zhang0Yongran Cheng1Bicheng Chen2Runhua Li3Xiyi Jiang4Liangyou Wang5Tianhui Chen6Qi Liao7Jinfei Chen8School of Public Health Hangzhou Medical College Hangzhou ChinaSchool of Public Health Hangzhou Medical College Hangzhou ChinaDepartment of Oncology First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University Wenzhou ChinaDepartment of Cancer Prevention/Zhejiang Cancer Institute, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital); Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences Hangzhou ChinaSchool of Public Health Hangzhou Medical College Hangzhou ChinaDepartment of Non‐communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention Taizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention Taizhou ChinaDepartment of Cancer Prevention/Zhejiang Cancer Institute, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital); Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences Hangzhou ChinaDepartment of Preventative Medicine, School of Medicine Ningbo University Ningbo ChinaDepartment of Oncology First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University Wenzhou ChinaAbstract Introduction While timely assessment of long‐term survival for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) is essential for evaluation on early detection and screening programs of colorectal cancer, those data are extremely scarce in China. We aimed to timely and accurately assess long‐term survival for CRC patients in eastern China. Methods Patients diagnosed with CRC during 2004–2018 and followed up until December 31, 2018 from four cancer registries with high‐quality data from Taizhou, eastern China were included. Period analysis was used to calculate 5‐year relative survival (RS) for overall and the stratification by sex, age at diagnosis and region. The projected 5‐year RS of CRC patients during 2019–2023 was also assessed using a model‐based period analysis. Results Overall 5‐year RS for patients with CRC during 2014–2018 reached 78.8%, being 74.9% for men and 86.1% for women. 5‐year RS declined along with aging, decreasing from 84.1% for age < 45 years to 48.9% for age > 74 years, while 5‐year RS for urban area was higher compared to rural area (83.9% vs. 75.8%). Projected overall 5‐year RS of CRC patients could reach 85.9% during the upcoming period 2019–2023. Conclusions We provided, for first time in China using period analysis, most up‐to‐date 5‐year RS for patients with CRC from Taizhou, eastern China and also found 5‐year RS for CRC patients have improved greatly during 2004–2018.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5220cancer registrycolorectal cancerperiod analysisscreeningsurvival
spellingShingle Min Zhang
Yongran Cheng
Bicheng Chen
Runhua Li
Xiyi Jiang
Liangyou Wang
Tianhui Chen
Qi Liao
Jinfei Chen
Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
Cancer Medicine
cancer registry
colorectal cancer
period analysis
screening
survival
title Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
title_full Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
title_fullStr Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
title_full_unstemmed Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
title_short Using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5‐year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in Taizhou, eastern China
title_sort using period analysis to timely assess and predict 5 year relative survival for colorectal cancer patients in taizhou eastern china
topic cancer registry
colorectal cancer
period analysis
screening
survival
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5220
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