Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study

Abstract Background The Detection of Indicators and Vulnerabilities for Emergency Room Trips (DIVERT) scale, the Community Assessment Risk Screen (CARS), and the Emergency Admission Risk Likelihood Index (EARLI) are scales that assess the risk of emergency department (ED) visits among home health ca...

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Main Authors: Takao Ono, Hiroko Watase, Takuma Ishihara, Taketo Watase, Kiho Kang, Mitsunaga Iwata
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of General and Family Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.738
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author Takao Ono
Hiroko Watase
Takuma Ishihara
Taketo Watase
Kiho Kang
Mitsunaga Iwata
author_facet Takao Ono
Hiroko Watase
Takuma Ishihara
Taketo Watase
Kiho Kang
Mitsunaga Iwata
author_sort Takao Ono
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The Detection of Indicators and Vulnerabilities for Emergency Room Trips (DIVERT) scale, the Community Assessment Risk Screen (CARS), and the Emergency Admission Risk Likelihood Index (EARLI) are scales that assess the risk of emergency department (ED) visits among home health care patients. This study validated these scales and explored factors that could improve their predictive accuracy among Japanese home health care patients. Methods This was a single‐center retrospective cohort study. The primary outcome of unplanned ED visits was used to assess the validity of the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI. Additionally, we examined whether the addition of patient age and receipt of advance care planning as variables on these assessments could enhance their precision. Results Altogether, 40 (17.8%) had at least one ED visit during the 6 months study period. In these patients, the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI of the patients with ≥1 ED visit was superior compared with no ED visit (both p < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI were 0.62, 0.59, and 0.60, respectively. Adding patient age and receipt of advance care planning improved the AUC in all three scales. Conclusions Our findings suggest that these assessment scales could be applicable to home health care patients in Japan. Furthermore, adding age and receipt of advance care planning as variables was found to enhance the predictive accuracy of the scales.
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spelling doaj-art-552fb70be3d14079a77bfc9504f124c52025-01-06T16:06:17ZengWileyJournal of General and Family Medicine2189-79482025-01-01261859110.1002/jgf2.738Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort studyTakao Ono0Hiroko Watase1Takuma Ishihara2Taketo Watase3Kiho Kang4Mitsunaga Iwata5Department of Emergency Medicine and General Internal Medicine Fujita Health University School of Medicine Toyoake Aichi JapanDepartment of Emergency Medicine and General Internal Medicine Fujita Health University School of Medicine Toyoake Aichi JapanInnovative and Clinical Research Promotion Center Gifu University Hospital Gifu JapanDepartment of Emergency Medicine and General Internal Medicine Fujita Health University School of Medicine Toyoake Aichi JapanMidori Homon Clinic Nagoya Aichi JapanDepartment of Emergency Medicine and General Internal Medicine Fujita Health University School of Medicine Toyoake Aichi JapanAbstract Background The Detection of Indicators and Vulnerabilities for Emergency Room Trips (DIVERT) scale, the Community Assessment Risk Screen (CARS), and the Emergency Admission Risk Likelihood Index (EARLI) are scales that assess the risk of emergency department (ED) visits among home health care patients. This study validated these scales and explored factors that could improve their predictive accuracy among Japanese home health care patients. Methods This was a single‐center retrospective cohort study. The primary outcome of unplanned ED visits was used to assess the validity of the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI. Additionally, we examined whether the addition of patient age and receipt of advance care planning as variables on these assessments could enhance their precision. Results Altogether, 40 (17.8%) had at least one ED visit during the 6 months study period. In these patients, the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI of the patients with ≥1 ED visit was superior compared with no ED visit (both p < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the DIVERT scale, CARS, and EARLI were 0.62, 0.59, and 0.60, respectively. Adding patient age and receipt of advance care planning improved the AUC in all three scales. Conclusions Our findings suggest that these assessment scales could be applicable to home health care patients in Japan. Furthermore, adding age and receipt of advance care planning as variables was found to enhance the predictive accuracy of the scales.https://doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.738CARSDIVERT scaleEARLIemergency department visitshome health care
spellingShingle Takao Ono
Hiroko Watase
Takuma Ishihara
Taketo Watase
Kiho Kang
Mitsunaga Iwata
Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
Journal of General and Family Medicine
CARS
DIVERT scale
EARLI
emergency department visits
home health care
title Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
title_full Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
title_fullStr Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
title_short Validating the DIVERT scales, CARS, and EARLI for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in Japan: A retrospective cohort study
title_sort validating the divert scales cars and earli for predicting emergency department visits in home health care in japan a retrospective cohort study
topic CARS
DIVERT scale
EARLI
emergency department visits
home health care
url https://doi.org/10.1002/jgf2.738
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