Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment

Offshore wind (OSW) technology has recently been included in California’s plans to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2045. As an emerging technology, many features of OSW are changing more rapidly than established renewable options and are shaped by local circumstances in unique ways that limi...

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Main Authors: Adam Rose, Nathaniel Gundersen, Yamini Kumar, Joshua Jacobs, Isabel Reynoso, Najmedin Meshkati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/118
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author Adam Rose
Nathaniel Gundersen
Yamini Kumar
Joshua Jacobs
Isabel Reynoso
Najmedin Meshkati
author_facet Adam Rose
Nathaniel Gundersen
Yamini Kumar
Joshua Jacobs
Isabel Reynoso
Najmedin Meshkati
author_sort Adam Rose
collection DOAJ
description Offshore wind (OSW) technology has recently been included in California’s plans to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2045. As an emerging technology, many features of OSW are changing more rapidly than established renewable options and are shaped by local circumstances in unique ways that limit transferrable experiences globally. This paper fills a gap in the literature by providing an updated technological assessment of OSW in California to determine its viability and competitiveness in the state’s electricity generation mix to achieve its near-term energy and environmental goals. Through a critical synthesis and extrapolation of technical, social, and economic analyses, we identify several major improvements in its potential. First, we note that while estimates of OSW’s costs per MWh of installed capacity have generally documented and projected a long-term decline, recent technical, microeconomic, and macroeconomic factors have caused significant backsliding of this momentum. Second, we project that the potential dollar value benefits of OSW’s greenhouse gas reduction capabilities have increased by one to two orders of magnitude, primarily due to major upward revisions of the social cost of carbon. Several co-benefits, including enhanced reliability, economic growth, and environmental justice, look to be increasingly promising due to a combination of technological advances and policy initiatives. Despite these advancements, OSW continues to face several engineering and broader challenges. We assess the current status of these challenges, as well as current and future strategies to address them. We conclude that OSW is now overall an even more attractive electricity-generating option than at the beginning of this decade.
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spelling doaj-art-54a605b6e55245beb433cf4daf5c34332025-01-10T13:17:09ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-12-0118111810.3390/en18010118Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated AssessmentAdam Rose0Nathaniel Gundersen1Yamini Kumar2Joshua Jacobs3Isabel Reynoso4Najmedin Meshkati5Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAPrice School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAViterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAViterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAViterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAViterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAOffshore wind (OSW) technology has recently been included in California’s plans to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2045. As an emerging technology, many features of OSW are changing more rapidly than established renewable options and are shaped by local circumstances in unique ways that limit transferrable experiences globally. This paper fills a gap in the literature by providing an updated technological assessment of OSW in California to determine its viability and competitiveness in the state’s electricity generation mix to achieve its near-term energy and environmental goals. Through a critical synthesis and extrapolation of technical, social, and economic analyses, we identify several major improvements in its potential. First, we note that while estimates of OSW’s costs per MWh of installed capacity have generally documented and projected a long-term decline, recent technical, microeconomic, and macroeconomic factors have caused significant backsliding of this momentum. Second, we project that the potential dollar value benefits of OSW’s greenhouse gas reduction capabilities have increased by one to two orders of magnitude, primarily due to major upward revisions of the social cost of carbon. Several co-benefits, including enhanced reliability, economic growth, and environmental justice, look to be increasingly promising due to a combination of technological advances and policy initiatives. Despite these advancements, OSW continues to face several engineering and broader challenges. We assess the current status of these challenges, as well as current and future strategies to address them. We conclude that OSW is now overall an even more attractive electricity-generating option than at the beginning of this decade.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/118offshore wind electricitytechnology assessmentbenefitsco-benefitschallengescalifornia coast
spellingShingle Adam Rose
Nathaniel Gundersen
Yamini Kumar
Joshua Jacobs
Isabel Reynoso
Najmedin Meshkati
Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
Energies
offshore wind electricity
technology assessment
benefits
co-benefits
challenges
california coast
title Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
title_full Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
title_fullStr Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
title_short Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment
title_sort benefits and challenges of california offshore wind electricity an updated assessment
topic offshore wind electricity
technology assessment
benefits
co-benefits
challenges
california coast
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/118
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