Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms

Abstract Understanding extreme space weather events is of paramount importance in efforts to protect technological systems in space and on the ground. Particularly in the thermosphere, the subsequent extreme magnetic storms can pose serious threats to low Earth orbit (LEO) spacecraft by intensifying...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Denny M. Oliveira, Eftyhia Zesta, Hisashi Hayakawa, Ankush Bhaskar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-11-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002472
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1841536400847011840
author Denny M. Oliveira
Eftyhia Zesta
Hisashi Hayakawa
Ankush Bhaskar
author_facet Denny M. Oliveira
Eftyhia Zesta
Hisashi Hayakawa
Ankush Bhaskar
author_sort Denny M. Oliveira
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Understanding extreme space weather events is of paramount importance in efforts to protect technological systems in space and on the ground. Particularly in the thermosphere, the subsequent extreme magnetic storms can pose serious threats to low Earth orbit (LEO) spacecraft by intensifying errors in orbit predictions. Extreme magnetic storms (minimum Dst ≤ −250 nT) are extremely rare: Only seven events occurred during the era of spacecraft with high‐level accelerometers such as CHAMP (CHAllenge Minisatellite Payload) and GRACE (Gravity Recovery And Climate experiment) and none with minimum Dst ≤ −500 nT, here termed magnetic superstorms. Therefore, current knowledge of thermospheric mass density response to superstorms is very limited. Thus, in order to advance this knowledge, four known magnetic superstorms in history, that is, events occurring before CHAMP's and GRACE's commission times, with complete data sets, are used to empirically estimate density enhancements and subsequent orbital drag. The November 2003 magnetic storm (minimum Dst = −422 nT), the most extreme event observed by both satellites, is used as the benchmark event. Results show that, as expected, orbital degradation is more severe for the most intense storms. Additionally, results clearly point out that the time duration of the storm is strongly associated with storm time orbital drag effects, being as important as or even more important than storm intensity itself. The most extreme storm time decays during CHAMP/GRACE‐like sample satellite orbits estimated for the March 1989 magnetic superstorm show that long‐lasting superstorms can have highly detrimental consequences for the orbital dynamics of satellites in LEO.
format Article
id doaj-art-50adbe722d7a41328660ef464fd7d3ad
institution Kabale University
issn 1542-7390
language English
publishDate 2020-11-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-50adbe722d7a41328660ef464fd7d3ad2025-01-14T16:30:47ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902020-11-011811n/an/a10.1029/2020SW002472Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic SuperstormsDenny M. Oliveira0Eftyhia Zesta1Hisashi Hayakawa2Ankush Bhaskar3Goddard Planetary Heliophysics Institute University of Maryland, Baltimore County Baltimore MD USANASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt MD USAInstitute for Advanced Researches Nagoya University Nagoya JapanNASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt MD USAAbstract Understanding extreme space weather events is of paramount importance in efforts to protect technological systems in space and on the ground. Particularly in the thermosphere, the subsequent extreme magnetic storms can pose serious threats to low Earth orbit (LEO) spacecraft by intensifying errors in orbit predictions. Extreme magnetic storms (minimum Dst ≤ −250 nT) are extremely rare: Only seven events occurred during the era of spacecraft with high‐level accelerometers such as CHAMP (CHAllenge Minisatellite Payload) and GRACE (Gravity Recovery And Climate experiment) and none with minimum Dst ≤ −500 nT, here termed magnetic superstorms. Therefore, current knowledge of thermospheric mass density response to superstorms is very limited. Thus, in order to advance this knowledge, four known magnetic superstorms in history, that is, events occurring before CHAMP's and GRACE's commission times, with complete data sets, are used to empirically estimate density enhancements and subsequent orbital drag. The November 2003 magnetic storm (minimum Dst = −422 nT), the most extreme event observed by both satellites, is used as the benchmark event. Results show that, as expected, orbital degradation is more severe for the most intense storms. Additionally, results clearly point out that the time duration of the storm is strongly associated with storm time orbital drag effects, being as important as or even more important than storm intensity itself. The most extreme storm time decays during CHAMP/GRACE‐like sample satellite orbits estimated for the March 1989 magnetic superstorm show that long‐lasting superstorms can have highly detrimental consequences for the orbital dynamics of satellites in LEO.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002472historical datamagnetic superstormsthermosphere densitysatellite orbital drag
spellingShingle Denny M. Oliveira
Eftyhia Zesta
Hisashi Hayakawa
Ankush Bhaskar
Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
Space Weather
historical data
magnetic superstorms
thermosphere density
satellite orbital drag
title Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
title_full Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
title_fullStr Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
title_full_unstemmed Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
title_short Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms
title_sort estimating satellite orbital drag during historical magnetic superstorms
topic historical data
magnetic superstorms
thermosphere density
satellite orbital drag
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002472
work_keys_str_mv AT dennymoliveira estimatingsatelliteorbitaldragduringhistoricalmagneticsuperstorms
AT eftyhiazesta estimatingsatelliteorbitaldragduringhistoricalmagneticsuperstorms
AT hisashihayakawa estimatingsatelliteorbitaldragduringhistoricalmagneticsuperstorms
AT ankushbhaskar estimatingsatelliteorbitaldragduringhistoricalmagneticsuperstorms