Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species
<i>Aedes</i> mosquitoes (Diptera, Culicidae) are the major vectors for many mosquito-borne diseases. Here, we retrieved 878,954 global occurrences of 29 <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species and 30 candidate predictors at a global scale. We created a unified frame and built 29 multi-...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2025-04-01
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| Series: | Insects |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/16/5/476 |
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| author | Xueyou Zhang Hongyan Mei Peixiao Nie Xiaokang Hu Jianmeng Feng |
| author_facet | Xueyou Zhang Hongyan Mei Peixiao Nie Xiaokang Hu Jianmeng Feng |
| author_sort | Xueyou Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <i>Aedes</i> mosquitoes (Diptera, Culicidae) are the major vectors for many mosquito-borne diseases. Here, we retrieved 878,954 global occurrences of 29 <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species and 30 candidate predictors at a global scale. We created a unified frame and built 29 multi-algorithm species distribution models to project the ranges and overlapped them to examine the range-overlap hotspots under future scenarios. We detected expanded ranges in most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species, and a substantial increase in the index of habitat suitability overlap was detected in more than 70% of the global terrestrial area, particularly in Europe, North America, and Africa. We also identified extensive range overlap, which increased in future scenarios. Climatic factors had a more significant influence on range dynamics than other variables. The expanded ranges of most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species and the substantial increase in the overlap index of habitat suitability in most regions suggest globally increasing threats of <i>Aedes</i>-borne epidemic transmission. Thus, much stricter strategies must be implemented, particularly in Europe, North America, and Africa. As climate change increases habitat suitability and expands ranges in most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species, mitigating future climate change will be a key approach to combatting their impacts. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4d91b8a4c1b1456d8b3174907dd7b83c |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2075-4450 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-04-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Insects |
| spelling | doaj-art-4d91b8a4c1b1456d8b3174907dd7b83c2025-08-20T03:48:01ZengMDPI AGInsects2075-44502025-04-0116547610.3390/insects16050476Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito SpeciesXueyou Zhang0Hongyan Mei1Peixiao Nie2Xiaokang Hu3Jianmeng Feng4College of Agriculture and Biological Science, Dali University, Dali 671003, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biological Science, Dali University, Dali 671003, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biological Science, Dali University, Dali 671003, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biological Science, Dali University, Dali 671003, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biological Science, Dali University, Dali 671003, China<i>Aedes</i> mosquitoes (Diptera, Culicidae) are the major vectors for many mosquito-borne diseases. Here, we retrieved 878,954 global occurrences of 29 <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species and 30 candidate predictors at a global scale. We created a unified frame and built 29 multi-algorithm species distribution models to project the ranges and overlapped them to examine the range-overlap hotspots under future scenarios. We detected expanded ranges in most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species, and a substantial increase in the index of habitat suitability overlap was detected in more than 70% of the global terrestrial area, particularly in Europe, North America, and Africa. We also identified extensive range overlap, which increased in future scenarios. Climatic factors had a more significant influence on range dynamics than other variables. The expanded ranges of most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species and the substantial increase in the overlap index of habitat suitability in most regions suggest globally increasing threats of <i>Aedes</i>-borne epidemic transmission. Thus, much stricter strategies must be implemented, particularly in Europe, North America, and Africa. As climate change increases habitat suitability and expands ranges in most <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species, mitigating future climate change will be a key approach to combatting their impacts.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/16/5/476<i>Aedes</i> mosquito speciesclimate changeshabitat suitabilityfuture scenarioglobal scalerange dynamics |
| spellingShingle | Xueyou Zhang Hongyan Mei Peixiao Nie Xiaokang Hu Jianmeng Feng Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species Insects <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species climate changes habitat suitability future scenario global scale range dynamics |
| title | Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species |
| title_full | Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species |
| title_fullStr | Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species |
| title_short | Future Climate Predicts Range Shifts and Increased Global Habitat Suitability for 29 <i>Aedes</i> Mosquito Species |
| title_sort | future climate predicts range shifts and increased global habitat suitability for 29 i aedes i mosquito species |
| topic | <i>Aedes</i> mosquito species climate changes habitat suitability future scenario global scale range dynamics |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/16/5/476 |
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