Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study

Abstract Background Cancer is a significant public health issue all over the world. The diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of cancer patients are a huge health, economic and social burden for societies. The link between the state of health of a country and its economic performance has been proven by...

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Main Authors: Klára Boruzs, Eszter Barbara Bán, Viktor Dombrádi, Gábor Bányai, Gergő József Szőllősi, Klára Bíró
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Oral Health
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12903-024-05134-4
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author Klára Boruzs
Eszter Barbara Bán
Viktor Dombrádi
Gábor Bányai
Gergő József Szőllősi
Klára Bíró
author_facet Klára Boruzs
Eszter Barbara Bán
Viktor Dombrádi
Gábor Bányai
Gergő József Szőllősi
Klára Bíró
author_sort Klára Boruzs
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Cancer is a significant public health issue all over the world. The diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of cancer patients are a huge health, economic and social burden for societies. The link between the state of health of a country and its economic performance has been proven by numerous studies. The aim of this study was to examine the age-standardized death rate of oral cancer in relation to the economic development of 13 European countries. Methods Aggregated data were collected from the European Health for All (HFA-DB) database until 2019 and analysed using second degree polynomial functions and correlation analyses, followed by time-series analysis involving vector autoregressive models. Results We found that in 10 of the 13 surveyed countries, the age-standardized death rate of oral cancer initially increased with GDP growth and then showed a downward trend above a certain level of economic development. Austria had a weak but significant positive effect with the second lag of GDP, Hungary had a significant negative effect with the first lag of GDP, and Italy had a significant negative effect with the second lag of GDP. In most cases, both the first and second lags of GDP changes were not statistically significant, indicating that short-term fluctuations in GDP do not directly influence changes in oral cancer mortality rates. Overall, while there are clear long-term associations between GDP and oral cancer mortality rates, the immediate causal effects of GDP changes on mortality rates are limited, suggesting that other factors and longer-term dynamics could play a more crucial role in this relationship. Conclusions An increase in a country’s economic development alone does not guarantee a decrease in the number of oral cancer patients. Therefore, in order to reduce the number of cases of oral cancer, strengthening education and prevention are essential.
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spelling doaj-art-4a98084a253b4da29adbd8e17cb76be02025-01-12T12:42:16ZengBMCBMC Oral Health1472-68312025-01-0125111110.1186/s12903-024-05134-4Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational studyKlára Boruzs0Eszter Barbara Bán1Viktor Dombrádi2Gábor Bányai3Gergő József Szőllősi4Klára Bíró5Institute of Health Economics and Management, Faculty of Economicsand Business, University of DebrecenOro-Maxillofacial Surgery and Stomatology Clinic, Health Care Service Units, Clinics University of Debrecen Clinical Center, University of DebrecenInstitute of Health Economics and Management, Faculty of Economicsand Business, University of DebrecenInstitute of Health Economics and Management, Faculty of Economicsand Business, University of DebrecenCoordination Center for Research in Social Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of DebrecenInstitute of Health Economics and Management, Faculty of Economicsand Business, University of DebrecenAbstract Background Cancer is a significant public health issue all over the world. The diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of cancer patients are a huge health, economic and social burden for societies. The link between the state of health of a country and its economic performance has been proven by numerous studies. The aim of this study was to examine the age-standardized death rate of oral cancer in relation to the economic development of 13 European countries. Methods Aggregated data were collected from the European Health for All (HFA-DB) database until 2019 and analysed using second degree polynomial functions and correlation analyses, followed by time-series analysis involving vector autoregressive models. Results We found that in 10 of the 13 surveyed countries, the age-standardized death rate of oral cancer initially increased with GDP growth and then showed a downward trend above a certain level of economic development. Austria had a weak but significant positive effect with the second lag of GDP, Hungary had a significant negative effect with the first lag of GDP, and Italy had a significant negative effect with the second lag of GDP. In most cases, both the first and second lags of GDP changes were not statistically significant, indicating that short-term fluctuations in GDP do not directly influence changes in oral cancer mortality rates. Overall, while there are clear long-term associations between GDP and oral cancer mortality rates, the immediate causal effects of GDP changes on mortality rates are limited, suggesting that other factors and longer-term dynamics could play a more crucial role in this relationship. Conclusions An increase in a country’s economic development alone does not guarantee a decrease in the number of oral cancer patients. Therefore, in order to reduce the number of cases of oral cancer, strengthening education and prevention are essential.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12903-024-05134-4Oral healthOral cancerGDPEconomic developmentOral cancer prevalence
spellingShingle Klára Boruzs
Eszter Barbara Bán
Viktor Dombrádi
Gábor Bányai
Gergő József Szőllősi
Klára Bíró
Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
BMC Oral Health
Oral health
Oral cancer
GDP
Economic development
Oral cancer prevalence
title Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
title_full Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
title_fullStr Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
title_full_unstemmed Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
title_short Examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 European countries: an ecological and correlational study
title_sort examining associations between oral cancer mortality and economic development of 13 european countries an ecological and correlational study
topic Oral health
Oral cancer
GDP
Economic development
Oral cancer prevalence
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12903-024-05134-4
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