The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.

The unprecedented consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic have raised concerns about the erosion of social cohesion and intensified social unrest, but evidence for such a link and the underlying channels is still lacking. We use a unique combination of nationally representative survey data, event data...

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Main Authors: Mario Lackner, Uwe Sunde, Rudolf Winter-Ebmer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314165
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author Mario Lackner
Uwe Sunde
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer
author_facet Mario Lackner
Uwe Sunde
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer
author_sort Mario Lackner
collection DOAJ
description The unprecedented consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic have raised concerns about the erosion of social cohesion and intensified social unrest, but evidence for such a link and the underlying channels is still lacking. We use a unique combination of nationally representative survey data, event data on social unrest, and data on Covid-19 fatalities and unemployment at a weekly resolution to investigate the forces behind social cohesion and unrest in the context of the strains on public health and the economy due to the pandemic in the USA. The results show that pandemic-related unemployment and Covid-19 fatalities intensified negative emotional stress and led to a deterioration of economic confidence among individuals. The prevalence of negative emotional stress, particularly in economically strained and politically polarized environments, was, in turn, associated with intensified social unrest as measured by political protests. No such link is found for economic perceptions.
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publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
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series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj-art-48ef9c21f65a4b8eb448b02c29bd10e12025-01-08T05:31:58ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01201e031416510.1371/journal.pone.0314165The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.Mario LacknerUwe SundeRudolf Winter-EbmerThe unprecedented consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic have raised concerns about the erosion of social cohesion and intensified social unrest, but evidence for such a link and the underlying channels is still lacking. We use a unique combination of nationally representative survey data, event data on social unrest, and data on Covid-19 fatalities and unemployment at a weekly resolution to investigate the forces behind social cohesion and unrest in the context of the strains on public health and the economy due to the pandemic in the USA. The results show that pandemic-related unemployment and Covid-19 fatalities intensified negative emotional stress and led to a deterioration of economic confidence among individuals. The prevalence of negative emotional stress, particularly in economically strained and politically polarized environments, was, in turn, associated with intensified social unrest as measured by political protests. No such link is found for economic perceptions.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314165
spellingShingle Mario Lackner
Uwe Sunde
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer
The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
PLoS ONE
title The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
title_full The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
title_fullStr The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
title_full_unstemmed The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
title_short The forces behind social unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic.
title_sort forces behind social unrest evidence from the covid 19 pandemic
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314165
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