Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).

Climatic variability inevitably impacted past societies and acted as a driver of change. The combined analyses of the archaeological record and written documentary sources, together with high-resolution climate reconstructions, remain rare. In this work, we compare evidence of change at the Germanic...

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Main Authors: Marek Vlach, Balázs Komoróczy, Max Carl Arne Torbenson, Jan Esper, Rudolf Brázdil, Ulf Büntgen, Daniela Semerádová, Otmar Urban, Jan Balek, Tomáš Kolář, Michal Rybníček, Miroslav Trnka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0325139
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author Marek Vlach
Balázs Komoróczy
Max Carl Arne Torbenson
Jan Esper
Rudolf Brázdil
Ulf Büntgen
Daniela Semerádová
Otmar Urban
Jan Balek
Tomáš Kolář
Michal Rybníček
Miroslav Trnka
author_facet Marek Vlach
Balázs Komoróczy
Max Carl Arne Torbenson
Jan Esper
Rudolf Brázdil
Ulf Büntgen
Daniela Semerádová
Otmar Urban
Jan Balek
Tomáš Kolář
Michal Rybníček
Miroslav Trnka
author_sort Marek Vlach
collection DOAJ
description Climatic variability inevitably impacted past societies and acted as a driver of change. The combined analyses of the archaeological record and written documentary sources, together with high-resolution climate reconstructions, remain rare. In this work, we compare evidence of change at the Germanic settlements (residential areas) of Iron Age Germanic societies in the Middle Danube region (the region of Moravia in the Czech Republic, Lower Austria and the Záhorie region in Slovakia) and reconstruct the effect of agroclimatic conditions during the first four centuries CE. Based on data from 773 residential areas with temporal identification, we demonstrate a coherent relationship between spatiotemporal changes in Germanic settlement structures and agroclimatic conditions. A nearly exponential increase in settlement structure during the 1st and half of the 2nd century CE coincided with improved agroclimatic conditions, whereas the subsequent settlement structure decline during the Late Roman Period temporally overlapped with agroclimatic deteriorations. Documented peak in cessations of residential areas in the late 2nd century CE appears unrelated to regional agroclimatic conditions and was instead caused by the Marcomannic Wars. We argue that separating periods of agroclimatic importance and insignificance is the first step towards identifying possible causal environmental drivers of settlement dynamics and societal change in the Middle Danube region.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1932-6203
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-483614fcf7c146d49d93a0e00c5a7cdb2025-08-20T03:51:20ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01207e032513910.1371/journal.pone.0325139Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).Marek VlachBalázs KomoróczyMax Carl Arne TorbensonJan EsperRudolf BrázdilUlf BüntgenDaniela SemerádováOtmar UrbanJan BalekTomáš KolářMichal RybníčekMiroslav TrnkaClimatic variability inevitably impacted past societies and acted as a driver of change. The combined analyses of the archaeological record and written documentary sources, together with high-resolution climate reconstructions, remain rare. In this work, we compare evidence of change at the Germanic settlements (residential areas) of Iron Age Germanic societies in the Middle Danube region (the region of Moravia in the Czech Republic, Lower Austria and the Záhorie region in Slovakia) and reconstruct the effect of agroclimatic conditions during the first four centuries CE. Based on data from 773 residential areas with temporal identification, we demonstrate a coherent relationship between spatiotemporal changes in Germanic settlement structures and agroclimatic conditions. A nearly exponential increase in settlement structure during the 1st and half of the 2nd century CE coincided with improved agroclimatic conditions, whereas the subsequent settlement structure decline during the Late Roman Period temporally overlapped with agroclimatic deteriorations. Documented peak in cessations of residential areas in the late 2nd century CE appears unrelated to regional agroclimatic conditions and was instead caused by the Marcomannic Wars. We argue that separating periods of agroclimatic importance and insignificance is the first step towards identifying possible causal environmental drivers of settlement dynamics and societal change in the Middle Danube region.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0325139
spellingShingle Marek Vlach
Balázs Komoróczy
Max Carl Arne Torbenson
Jan Esper
Rudolf Brázdil
Ulf Büntgen
Daniela Semerádová
Otmar Urban
Jan Balek
Tomáš Kolář
Michal Rybníček
Miroslav Trnka
Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
PLoS ONE
title Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
title_full Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
title_fullStr Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
title_full_unstemmed Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
title_short Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st-4th Century CE).
title_sort climate variability and germanic settlement dynamics in the middle danube region during the roman period 1st 4th century ce
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0325139
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