Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources

Abstract Various upstream spacecraft have now observed the solar wind conditions affecting the Earth since the 1970s, covering over four solar activity cycles. These measurements provide a long term picture of the related patterns in large scale incident plasma and magnetic field parameters of inter...

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Main Authors: J. G. Luhmann, Yan Li, C. O. Lee, L. K. Jian, C. N. Arge, P. Riley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-10-01
Series:Space Weather
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003110
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author J. G. Luhmann
Yan Li
C. O. Lee
L. K. Jian
C. N. Arge
P. Riley
author_facet J. G. Luhmann
Yan Li
C. O. Lee
L. K. Jian
C. N. Arge
P. Riley
author_sort J. G. Luhmann
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Various upstream spacecraft have now observed the solar wind conditions affecting the Earth since the 1970s, covering over four solar activity cycles. These measurements provide a long term picture of the related patterns in large scale incident plasma and magnetic field parameters of interest for both interpreting cycles in geospace effects, and understanding how the Sun controls our space environment. This paper focuses on the latter, in part to provide context at the start of the new solar cycle 25, and toward establishing connections between the 1 AU ecliptic solar wind behavior and the unprecedented near‐Sun measurements of heliospheric features on Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter. Magnetograph data‐based potential field source surface models provide a basic picture of how the solar wind sources, including those that give rise to corotating high speed streams in the ecliptic, have changed since the beginning of the record of regular solar wind measurements. In particular, they suggest the contributions from low to mid latitude coronal holes dominate the observed cycles (21–24), especially the weaker cycles (23 and 24), impacting upstream measurement interpretations, modeling, and forecasting considerations. For example, recurring features are affected by differential rotation of the Sun's surface field, which through its effects on the corona, can produce solar wind streams reappearing at ∼25–30 days intervals instead of at the canonical 27.3 days Carrington rotation rate. In addition, the conditions that lead to the corotating stream structure that can dominate periods of low solar activity are seen to be more complicated than suggested by the simple concepts of early studies. The overall results illustrate where in the cycles well‐defined, long‐lived large scale structures can be expected, and the advantages of synoptic displays of 1 AU solar wind parameters for anticipating timings of recurring features.
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spelling doaj-art-45c0d40084ea4b1796441973358bbae12025-01-14T16:30:48ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-10-012010n/an/a10.1029/2022SW003110Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind SourcesJ. G. Luhmann0Yan Li1C. O. Lee2L. K. Jian3C. N. Arge4P. Riley5Space Sciences Laboratory University of California Berkeley CA USASpace Sciences Laboratory University of California Berkeley CA USASpace Sciences Laboratory University of California Berkeley CA USANASA Goddard Spaceflight Center Greenbelt MD USANASA Goddard Spaceflight Center Greenbelt MD USAPredictive Science Inc San Diego CA USAAbstract Various upstream spacecraft have now observed the solar wind conditions affecting the Earth since the 1970s, covering over four solar activity cycles. These measurements provide a long term picture of the related patterns in large scale incident plasma and magnetic field parameters of interest for both interpreting cycles in geospace effects, and understanding how the Sun controls our space environment. This paper focuses on the latter, in part to provide context at the start of the new solar cycle 25, and toward establishing connections between the 1 AU ecliptic solar wind behavior and the unprecedented near‐Sun measurements of heliospheric features on Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter. Magnetograph data‐based potential field source surface models provide a basic picture of how the solar wind sources, including those that give rise to corotating high speed streams in the ecliptic, have changed since the beginning of the record of regular solar wind measurements. In particular, they suggest the contributions from low to mid latitude coronal holes dominate the observed cycles (21–24), especially the weaker cycles (23 and 24), impacting upstream measurement interpretations, modeling, and forecasting considerations. For example, recurring features are affected by differential rotation of the Sun's surface field, which through its effects on the corona, can produce solar wind streams reappearing at ∼25–30 days intervals instead of at the canonical 27.3 days Carrington rotation rate. In addition, the conditions that lead to the corotating stream structure that can dominate periods of low solar activity are seen to be more complicated than suggested by the simple concepts of early studies. The overall results illustrate where in the cycles well‐defined, long‐lived large scale structures can be expected, and the advantages of synoptic displays of 1 AU solar wind parameters for anticipating timings of recurring features.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003110
spellingShingle J. G. Luhmann
Yan Li
C. O. Lee
L. K. Jian
C. N. Arge
P. Riley
Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
Space Weather
title Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
title_full Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
title_fullStr Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
title_full_unstemmed Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
title_short Solar Cycle Variability in Coronal Holes and Their Effects on Solar Wind Sources
title_sort solar cycle variability in coronal holes and their effects on solar wind sources
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003110
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AT lkjian solarcyclevariabilityincoronalholesandtheireffectsonsolarwindsources
AT cnarge solarcyclevariabilityincoronalholesandtheireffectsonsolarwindsources
AT priley solarcyclevariabilityincoronalholesandtheireffectsonsolarwindsources