China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective

This paper provides a review on China's meat trade for the 2000–2012 period and discusses its future development, with reference to China's grain trade. With marginal decreases in meat exports and slight increases in their imports, China's net imports of major meat products (including...

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Main Authors: Wu-sheng YU, Li-juan CAO
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2015-06-01
Series:Journal of Integrative Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209531191460993X
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author Wu-sheng YU
Li-juan CAO
author_facet Wu-sheng YU
Li-juan CAO
author_sort Wu-sheng YU
collection DOAJ
description This paper provides a review on China's meat trade for the 2000–2012 period and discusses its future development, with reference to China's grain trade. With marginal decreases in meat exports and slight increases in their imports, China's net imports of major meat products (including pork, beef, mutton and poultry but excluding meat offal) were just below 1 million tons in 2012, dwarfed by China's net imports of grains which reached 66.7 million tons in the same year. This slow growth in meat trade seems to contradict earlier expectations on increasing meat demand and imports, based upon projected shifts in consumption patterns driven by rapid per capita income growth. Several plausible explanations of this paradoxical trade pattern are offered, including mass imports of feed grains, persistent (but shrinking) gaps between Chinese and international meat prices, tariff barriers, and non-tariff measures. In the near future China may not be able to maintain such a lower profile on the world meat markets, as per capita income is projected to continue to rise and domestic production cost advantages erode due to rising labor costs. A model-based projection exercise indicates that under plausible assumptions China's meat imports may rise sharply by 2030.
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spelling doaj-art-453c0f8be4344e07b5c9206be236af1e2025-08-20T03:58:21ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Journal of Integrative Agriculture2095-31192015-06-011461101111410.1016/S2095-3119(14)60993-XChina's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspectiveWu-sheng YU0Li-juan CAO1Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen, Frederiksberg C 1958, Denmark; Correspondence YU Wu-sheng, Tel: +45-35336812College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, P.R.China; China Center for Food Security Research, Nanjing Agricultural Universtiy, Nanjing 210095, P.R.ChinaThis paper provides a review on China's meat trade for the 2000–2012 period and discusses its future development, with reference to China's grain trade. With marginal decreases in meat exports and slight increases in their imports, China's net imports of major meat products (including pork, beef, mutton and poultry but excluding meat offal) were just below 1 million tons in 2012, dwarfed by China's net imports of grains which reached 66.7 million tons in the same year. This slow growth in meat trade seems to contradict earlier expectations on increasing meat demand and imports, based upon projected shifts in consumption patterns driven by rapid per capita income growth. Several plausible explanations of this paradoxical trade pattern are offered, including mass imports of feed grains, persistent (but shrinking) gaps between Chinese and international meat prices, tariff barriers, and non-tariff measures. In the near future China may not be able to maintain such a lower profile on the world meat markets, as per capita income is projected to continue to rise and domestic production cost advantages erode due to rising labor costs. A model-based projection exercise indicates that under plausible assumptions China's meat imports may rise sharply by 2030.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209531191460993Xmeat tradegrain tradeChinaprojection
spellingShingle Wu-sheng YU
Li-juan CAO
China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
Journal of Integrative Agriculture
meat trade
grain trade
China
projection
title China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
title_full China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
title_fullStr China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
title_full_unstemmed China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
title_short China's meat and grain imports during 2000–2012 and beyond: A comparative perspective
title_sort china s meat and grain imports during 2000 2012 and beyond a comparative perspective
topic meat trade
grain trade
China
projection
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209531191460993X
work_keys_str_mv AT wushengyu chinasmeatandgrainimportsduring20002012andbeyondacomparativeperspective
AT lijuancao chinasmeatandgrainimportsduring20002012andbeyondacomparativeperspective