A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space

The prediction and analysis of students’ academic performance are essential tools for educators and learners to improve teaching and learning methods. Effective predictive methods assist learners in targeted studying based on forecast results, while effective analytical methods help educators design...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zheng Luo, Jiahao Mai, Caihong Feng, Deyao Kong, Jingyu Liu, Yunhong Ding, Bo Qi, Zhanbo Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3597
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846153060065214464
author Zheng Luo
Jiahao Mai
Caihong Feng
Deyao Kong
Jingyu Liu
Yunhong Ding
Bo Qi
Zhanbo Zhu
author_facet Zheng Luo
Jiahao Mai
Caihong Feng
Deyao Kong
Jingyu Liu
Yunhong Ding
Bo Qi
Zhanbo Zhu
author_sort Zheng Luo
collection DOAJ
description The prediction and analysis of students’ academic performance are essential tools for educators and learners to improve teaching and learning methods. Effective predictive methods assist learners in targeted studying based on forecast results, while effective analytical methods help educators design appropriate educational content. However, in actual educational environments, factors influencing student performance are multidimensional across both temporal and spatial dimensions. Therefore, a student performance prediction and analysis method incorporating multidimensional spatiotemporal features has been proposed in this study. Due to the complexity and nonlinearity of learning behaviors in the educational process, predicting students’ academic performance effectively is challenging. Nevertheless, machine learning algorithms possess significant advantages in handling data complexity and nonlinearity. Initially, a multidimensional spatiotemporal feature dataset was constructed by combining three categories of features: students’ basic information, performance at various stages of the semester, and educational indicators from their places of origin (considering both temporal aspects, i.e., performance at various stages of the semester, and spatial aspects, i.e., educational indicators from their places of origin). Subsequently, six machine learning models were trained using this dataset to predict student performance, and experimental results confirmed their accuracy. Furthermore, SHAP analysis was utilized to extract factors significantly impacting the experimental outcomes. Subsequently, this study conducted data ablation experiments, the results of which proved the rationality of the feature selection in this study. Finally, this study proposed a feasible solution for guiding teaching strategies by integrating spatiotemporal multi-dimensional features in the analysis of student performance prediction in actual teaching processes.
format Article
id doaj-art-445e7949fa9c4992bf4a8508a5fef1f0
institution Kabale University
issn 2227-7390
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-445e7949fa9c4992bf4a8508a5fef1f02024-11-26T18:11:58ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902024-11-011222359710.3390/math12223597A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and SpaceZheng Luo0Jiahao Mai1Caihong Feng2Deyao Kong3Jingyu Liu4Yunhong Ding5Bo Qi6Zhanbo Zhu7The School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, ChinaSchool of Astronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, ChinaNo. 703 Research Institute, China State Shipbuilding Corporation Limited, Harbin 150025, ChinaThe prediction and analysis of students’ academic performance are essential tools for educators and learners to improve teaching and learning methods. Effective predictive methods assist learners in targeted studying based on forecast results, while effective analytical methods help educators design appropriate educational content. However, in actual educational environments, factors influencing student performance are multidimensional across both temporal and spatial dimensions. Therefore, a student performance prediction and analysis method incorporating multidimensional spatiotemporal features has been proposed in this study. Due to the complexity and nonlinearity of learning behaviors in the educational process, predicting students’ academic performance effectively is challenging. Nevertheless, machine learning algorithms possess significant advantages in handling data complexity and nonlinearity. Initially, a multidimensional spatiotemporal feature dataset was constructed by combining three categories of features: students’ basic information, performance at various stages of the semester, and educational indicators from their places of origin (considering both temporal aspects, i.e., performance at various stages of the semester, and spatial aspects, i.e., educational indicators from their places of origin). Subsequently, six machine learning models were trained using this dataset to predict student performance, and experimental results confirmed their accuracy. Furthermore, SHAP analysis was utilized to extract factors significantly impacting the experimental outcomes. Subsequently, this study conducted data ablation experiments, the results of which proved the rationality of the feature selection in this study. Finally, this study proposed a feasible solution for guiding teaching strategies by integrating spatiotemporal multi-dimensional features in the analysis of student performance prediction in actual teaching processes.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3597student performance predictiondata fusionfeature importance analysismachine learning
spellingShingle Zheng Luo
Jiahao Mai
Caihong Feng
Deyao Kong
Jingyu Liu
Yunhong Ding
Bo Qi
Zhanbo Zhu
A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
Mathematics
student performance prediction
data fusion
feature importance analysis
machine learning
title A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
title_full A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
title_fullStr A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
title_full_unstemmed A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
title_short A Method for Prediction and Analysis of Student Performance That Combines Multi-Dimensional Features of Time and Space
title_sort method for prediction and analysis of student performance that combines multi dimensional features of time and space
topic student performance prediction
data fusion
feature importance analysis
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3597
work_keys_str_mv AT zhengluo amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT jiahaomai amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT caihongfeng amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT deyaokong amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT jingyuliu amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT yunhongding amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT boqi amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT zhanbozhu amethodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT zhengluo methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT jiahaomai methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT caihongfeng methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT deyaokong methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT jingyuliu methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT yunhongding methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT boqi methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace
AT zhanbozhu methodforpredictionandanalysisofstudentperformancethatcombinesmultidimensionalfeaturesoftimeandspace