Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model

Reducing carbon emissions while ensuring economic growth has become a realistic demand in China. The ideal scenario would be to realize the coupling and coordination of the economic and energy systems. This research constructs a coupling coordination evaluation system that objectively reflects the l...

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Main Authors: Xin Li, Yuchen Lu, Jingjing Chen, Lihong Peng, Xiaochou Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/11/2799
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author Xin Li
Yuchen Lu
Jingjing Chen
Lihong Peng
Xiaochou Chen
author_facet Xin Li
Yuchen Lu
Jingjing Chen
Lihong Peng
Xiaochou Chen
author_sort Xin Li
collection DOAJ
description Reducing carbon emissions while ensuring economic growth has become a realistic demand in China. The ideal scenario would be to realize the coupling and coordination of the economic and energy systems. This research constructs a coupling coordination evaluation system that objectively reflects the low-carbon energy system (LCES) and socioeconomic system of China. The LCES level has increased to varying degrees in all provinces, with significant differences across regions. The coupling degree of the 30 provinces is between 0.5955 and 0.9999, belonging to the running-in stage and high-coupling stage. Moreover, the average coupling coordination degree (CCD) is 0.3–0.4, belonging to moderate incoordination. In terms of sub-provinces, the CCDs in all provinces indicate high coupling with varying degrees of coordination. Only Qinghai falls into the running-in low-incoordination category. Reaching the 2030 carbon intensity reduction target would be challenging under the baseline scenario. However, this target is expected to be achieved under two scenarios in which the policy constraints of each province are realized. Based on these conclusions, this research proposes a regionally differentiated low-carbon synergistic development strategy to provide a targeted regional synergistic path for the realization of carbon emission reduction and dual-carbon goals in China during the stage of high-quality development.
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series Energies
spelling doaj-art-44299a12d0ab4e60a7b3ad9d36f94ce42025-08-20T03:46:50ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-05-011811279910.3390/en18112799Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive ModelXin Li0Yuchen Lu1Jingjing Chen2Lihong Peng3Xiaochou Chen4College of the Environment & Ecology, Xiamen University, Xiang’an South Road, Xiang’an District, Xiamen 361102, ChinaCollege of the Environment & Ecology, Xiamen University, Xiang’an South Road, Xiang’an District, Xiamen 361102, ChinaCollege of the Environment & Ecology, Xiamen University, Xiang’an South Road, Xiang’an District, Xiamen 361102, ChinaCollege of the Environment & Ecology, Xiamen University, Xiang’an South Road, Xiang’an District, Xiamen 361102, ChinaInformation and Network Services Center, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, ChinaReducing carbon emissions while ensuring economic growth has become a realistic demand in China. The ideal scenario would be to realize the coupling and coordination of the economic and energy systems. This research constructs a coupling coordination evaluation system that objectively reflects the low-carbon energy system (LCES) and socioeconomic system of China. The LCES level has increased to varying degrees in all provinces, with significant differences across regions. The coupling degree of the 30 provinces is between 0.5955 and 0.9999, belonging to the running-in stage and high-coupling stage. Moreover, the average coupling coordination degree (CCD) is 0.3–0.4, belonging to moderate incoordination. In terms of sub-provinces, the CCDs in all provinces indicate high coupling with varying degrees of coordination. Only Qinghai falls into the running-in low-incoordination category. Reaching the 2030 carbon intensity reduction target would be challenging under the baseline scenario. However, this target is expected to be achieved under two scenarios in which the policy constraints of each province are realized. Based on these conclusions, this research proposes a regionally differentiated low-carbon synergistic development strategy to provide a targeted regional synergistic path for the realization of carbon emission reduction and dual-carbon goals in China during the stage of high-quality development.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/11/2799carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goalsenergy low-carbonization systemcoupling coordinationregional synergy
spellingShingle Xin Li
Yuchen Lu
Jingjing Chen
Lihong Peng
Xiaochou Chen
Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
Energies
carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals
energy low-carbonization system
coupling coordination
regional synergy
title Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
title_full Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
title_fullStr Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
title_short Evaluation of the Coupling Coordination Between Energy Low Carbonization and the Socioeconomic System in China Based on a Comprehensive Model
title_sort evaluation of the coupling coordination between energy low carbonization and the socioeconomic system in china based on a comprehensive model
topic carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals
energy low-carbonization system
coupling coordination
regional synergy
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/11/2799
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AT yuchenlu evaluationofthecouplingcoordinationbetweenenergylowcarbonizationandthesocioeconomicsysteminchinabasedonacomprehensivemodel
AT jingjingchen evaluationofthecouplingcoordinationbetweenenergylowcarbonizationandthesocioeconomicsysteminchinabasedonacomprehensivemodel
AT lihongpeng evaluationofthecouplingcoordinationbetweenenergylowcarbonizationandthesocioeconomicsysteminchinabasedonacomprehensivemodel
AT xiaochouchen evaluationofthecouplingcoordinationbetweenenergylowcarbonizationandthesocioeconomicsysteminchinabasedonacomprehensivemodel