Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study

Corporate budget planning involves forecasting expenses and revenues to support strategic goals, resource allocation, and supply chain coordination. Regular updates to forecasts and collaboration across organizational levels ensure adaptability to changing business conditions. Long-term sales foreca...

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Main Authors: Katarzyna Grobler-Dębska, Rafał Mularczyk, Bartłomiej Gawęda, Edyta Kucharska
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/287
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author Katarzyna Grobler-Dębska
Rafał Mularczyk
Bartłomiej Gawęda
Edyta Kucharska
author_facet Katarzyna Grobler-Dębska
Rafał Mularczyk
Bartłomiej Gawęda
Edyta Kucharska
author_sort Katarzyna Grobler-Dębska
collection DOAJ
description Corporate budget planning involves forecasting expenses and revenues to support strategic goals, resource allocation, and supply chain coordination. Regular updates to forecasts and collaboration across organizational levels ensure adaptability to changing business conditions. Long-term sales forecasts form the foundation for budgeting, guiding resource allocation and enhancing financial efficiency. The budgeting process in organizations is complex and requires data from various operational areas, which is collected over a representative period. Key inputs include quantitative sales data, direct costs indirect costs, and historical revenues and profitability, which are often sourced from ERP systems. While ERP systems typically provide tools for basic budgeting, they lack advanced capabilities for forecasting and simulation. We proposed a solution, which includes dynamic demand forecasting based on time series methods such as Build-in method in Power BI (which is ETS—exponential smoothing), linear regression, XGBoost, ARIMA and flexible product groupings, which are simulations for cost changes. The case study concerns a manufacturing company in the mass customization industry. The solution is designed to be intuitive and easily implemented in the business.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2076-3417
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Applied Sciences
spelling doaj-art-424153df4e0d44008f12505f2a85b6992025-01-10T13:15:02ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-12-0115128710.3390/app15010287Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case StudyKatarzyna Grobler-Dębska0Rafał Mularczyk1Bartłomiej Gawęda2Edyta Kucharska3Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Automatics, Computer Science and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Krakow, PolandFaculty of Electrical Engineering, Automatics, Computer Science and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Krakow, PolandFaculty of Electrical Engineering, Automatics, Computer Science and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Krakow, PolandFaculty of Electrical Engineering, Automatics, Computer Science and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Krakow, PolandCorporate budget planning involves forecasting expenses and revenues to support strategic goals, resource allocation, and supply chain coordination. Regular updates to forecasts and collaboration across organizational levels ensure adaptability to changing business conditions. Long-term sales forecasts form the foundation for budgeting, guiding resource allocation and enhancing financial efficiency. The budgeting process in organizations is complex and requires data from various operational areas, which is collected over a representative period. Key inputs include quantitative sales data, direct costs indirect costs, and historical revenues and profitability, which are often sourced from ERP systems. While ERP systems typically provide tools for basic budgeting, they lack advanced capabilities for forecasting and simulation. We proposed a solution, which includes dynamic demand forecasting based on time series methods such as Build-in method in Power BI (which is ETS—exponential smoothing), linear regression, XGBoost, ARIMA and flexible product groupings, which are simulations for cost changes. The case study concerns a manufacturing company in the mass customization industry. The solution is designed to be intuitive and easily implemented in the business.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/287data-driven decision makingpredictive methods applicationAI-related managementmachine learningERP and BI systems
spellingShingle Katarzyna Grobler-Dębska
Rafał Mularczyk
Bartłomiej Gawęda
Edyta Kucharska
Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
Applied Sciences
data-driven decision making
predictive methods application
AI-related management
machine learning
ERP and BI systems
title Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
title_full Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
title_fullStr Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
title_short Time Series Methods and Business Intelligent Tools for Budget Planning—Case Study
title_sort time series methods and business intelligent tools for budget planning case study
topic data-driven decision making
predictive methods application
AI-related management
machine learning
ERP and BI systems
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/287
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AT rafałmularczyk timeseriesmethodsandbusinessintelligenttoolsforbudgetplanningcasestudy
AT bartłomiejgaweda timeseriesmethodsandbusinessintelligenttoolsforbudgetplanningcasestudy
AT edytakucharska timeseriesmethodsandbusinessintelligenttoolsforbudgetplanningcasestudy