Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges

Abstract Integrating prior epidemiological knowledge embedded within mechanistic models with the data-mining capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for epidemiological modeling. While the fusion of AI and traditional mechanistic approaches is rapidly advancing,...

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Main Authors: Yang Ye, Abhishek Pandey, Carolyn Bawden, Dewan Md. Sumsuzzman, Rimpi Rajput, Affan Shoukat, Burton H. Singer, Seyed M. Moghadas, Alison P. Galvani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55461-x
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author Yang Ye
Abhishek Pandey
Carolyn Bawden
Dewan Md. Sumsuzzman
Rimpi Rajput
Affan Shoukat
Burton H. Singer
Seyed M. Moghadas
Alison P. Galvani
author_facet Yang Ye
Abhishek Pandey
Carolyn Bawden
Dewan Md. Sumsuzzman
Rimpi Rajput
Affan Shoukat
Burton H. Singer
Seyed M. Moghadas
Alison P. Galvani
author_sort Yang Ye
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Integrating prior epidemiological knowledge embedded within mechanistic models with the data-mining capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for epidemiological modeling. While the fusion of AI and traditional mechanistic approaches is rapidly advancing, efforts remain fragmented. This scoping review provides a comprehensive overview of emerging integrated models applied across the spectrum of infectious diseases. Through systematic search strategies, we identified 245 eligible studies from 15,460 records. Our review highlights the practical value of integrated models, including advances in disease forecasting, model parameterization, and calibration. However, key research gaps remain. These include the need for better incorporation of realistic decision-making considerations, expanded exploration of diverse datasets, and further investigation into biological and socio-behavioral mechanisms. Addressing these gaps will unlock the synergistic potential of AI and mechanistic modeling to enhance understanding of disease dynamics and support more effective public health planning and response.
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spelling doaj-art-41add67b580742ca8894b5a91c2d43fd2025-01-12T12:30:17ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-01-0116111810.1038/s41467-024-55461-xIntegrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challengesYang Ye0Abhishek Pandey1Carolyn Bawden2Dewan Md. Sumsuzzman3Rimpi Rajput4Affan Shoukat5Burton H. Singer6Seyed M. Moghadas7Alison P. Galvani8Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public HealthCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public HealthDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, McGill UniversityAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York UniversityCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public HealthDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of ReginaEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of FloridaAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York UniversityCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public HealthAbstract Integrating prior epidemiological knowledge embedded within mechanistic models with the data-mining capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for epidemiological modeling. While the fusion of AI and traditional mechanistic approaches is rapidly advancing, efforts remain fragmented. This scoping review provides a comprehensive overview of emerging integrated models applied across the spectrum of infectious diseases. Through systematic search strategies, we identified 245 eligible studies from 15,460 records. Our review highlights the practical value of integrated models, including advances in disease forecasting, model parameterization, and calibration. However, key research gaps remain. These include the need for better incorporation of realistic decision-making considerations, expanded exploration of diverse datasets, and further investigation into biological and socio-behavioral mechanisms. Addressing these gaps will unlock the synergistic potential of AI and mechanistic modeling to enhance understanding of disease dynamics and support more effective public health planning and response.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55461-x
spellingShingle Yang Ye
Abhishek Pandey
Carolyn Bawden
Dewan Md. Sumsuzzman
Rimpi Rajput
Affan Shoukat
Burton H. Singer
Seyed M. Moghadas
Alison P. Galvani
Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
Nature Communications
title Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
title_full Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
title_fullStr Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
title_full_unstemmed Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
title_short Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
title_sort integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling a scoping review of opportunities and challenges
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55461-x
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