PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES

Based on the Grey theory and Markov Chain theory,two prediction models were built,they are Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on absolute distribution( GMCAD) and Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on probability summation( GMCPS). These two models were used to predict the corrosion life...

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Main Authors: YU ShuRong, HAN JunYu, LI ShuXin
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength 2016-01-01
Series:Jixie qiangdu
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2016.04.033
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author YU ShuRong
HAN JunYu
LI ShuXin
author_facet YU ShuRong
HAN JunYu
LI ShuXin
author_sort YU ShuRong
collection DOAJ
description Based on the Grey theory and Markov Chain theory,two prediction models were built,they are Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on absolute distribution( GMCAD) and Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on probability summation( GMCPS). These two models were used to predict the corrosion life of the oil-gas pipeline. Firstly,the calculation method of pit depth was built by the Grey theory. Secondly,test of Markov property was done to verify its feasibility. At last,GMCAD and GMCPS were used,respectively,to predict the corrosion state of the pipeline and results were compared. It indicates that both two models can give a correct prediction and the result from GMCPS is more accurate.
format Article
id doaj-art-3e9971844df64094931dbfebc3d9633e
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9669
language zho
publishDate 2016-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength
record_format Article
series Jixie qiangdu
spelling doaj-art-3e9971844df64094931dbfebc3d9633e2025-01-15T02:36:16ZzhoEditorial Office of Journal of Mechanical StrengthJixie qiangdu1001-96692016-01-013885085630595987PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINESYU ShuRongHAN JunYuLI ShuXinBased on the Grey theory and Markov Chain theory,two prediction models were built,they are Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on absolute distribution( GMCAD) and Grey Markov Chain prediction model based on probability summation( GMCPS). These two models were used to predict the corrosion life of the oil-gas pipeline. Firstly,the calculation method of pit depth was built by the Grey theory. Secondly,test of Markov property was done to verify its feasibility. At last,GMCAD and GMCPS were used,respectively,to predict the corrosion state of the pipeline and results were compared. It indicates that both two models can give a correct prediction and the result from GMCPS is more accurate.http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2016.04.033PipelineCorrosionGrey Markov chain modelLife prediction
spellingShingle YU ShuRong
HAN JunYu
LI ShuXin
PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
Jixie qiangdu
Pipeline
Corrosion
Grey Markov chain model
Life prediction
title PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
title_full PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
title_fullStr PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
title_full_unstemmed PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
title_short PREDICTIVE GREY MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR PITTING CORROSION IN PIPLINES
title_sort predictive grey markov chain model for pitting corrosion in piplines
topic Pipeline
Corrosion
Grey Markov chain model
Life prediction
url http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2016.04.033
work_keys_str_mv AT yushurong predictivegreymarkovchainmodelforpittingcorrosioninpiplines
AT hanjunyu predictivegreymarkovchainmodelforpittingcorrosioninpiplines
AT lishuxin predictivegreymarkovchainmodelforpittingcorrosioninpiplines