Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study

Abstract This study examines the return connectedness between decentralized finance (DeFi)’s and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) stock markets using the quantile vector autoregressive framework, which allows us to investigate the connectedness at conditional quantiles. Our sample...

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Main Authors: Shoaib Ali, Youssef Manel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-01-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00678-4
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author Shoaib Ali
Youssef Manel
author_facet Shoaib Ali
Youssef Manel
author_sort Shoaib Ali
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study examines the return connectedness between decentralized finance (DeFi)’s and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) stock markets using the quantile vector autoregressive framework, which allows us to investigate the connectedness at conditional quantiles. Our sample includes four major DeFi’s and six ASEAN stock markets, spanning from March 2018 to December 2022. The static results indicate a moderate level of return transmission between the system at mean and median quantile. This propagation increases substantially under extreme market conditions, establishing an asymmetric transmission across quantiles. Despite being a relatively new asset class, DeFi dominates the equity market and acts as the primary shock transmitter to the system in most instances. The dynamic analysis reveals that total system connectedness fluctuates over time and quantiles. The total system connectedness peaked during the COVID-19 and the Russia–Ukraine conflict period, indicating the impact of global events on system transmission. The optimal weight and hedge ratio estimated using the DCC-GARCH model indicate that DeFi is beneficial for portfolio construction and risk management. The rising trend in dynamic optimal weight and hedge ratio during the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrates that investors should decrease their investments in DeFi and increase hedging costs. Therefore, portfolio managers and investors should readjust their portfolio allocation in a timely manner according to different market states to build additional effective hedging and diversification strategies to avoid large losses and to reduce portfolio risk exposure.
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spelling doaj-art-3e7c996989644ccabda180590dc198362025-01-05T12:43:40ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302025-01-0111112610.1186/s40854-024-00678-4Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile studyShoaib Ali0Youssef Manel1Rabat Business School, Université Internationale de RabatCenter for Economic and Social Studies and Research (CERES), Elkhadra CityAbstract This study examines the return connectedness between decentralized finance (DeFi)’s and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) stock markets using the quantile vector autoregressive framework, which allows us to investigate the connectedness at conditional quantiles. Our sample includes four major DeFi’s and six ASEAN stock markets, spanning from March 2018 to December 2022. The static results indicate a moderate level of return transmission between the system at mean and median quantile. This propagation increases substantially under extreme market conditions, establishing an asymmetric transmission across quantiles. Despite being a relatively new asset class, DeFi dominates the equity market and acts as the primary shock transmitter to the system in most instances. The dynamic analysis reveals that total system connectedness fluctuates over time and quantiles. The total system connectedness peaked during the COVID-19 and the Russia–Ukraine conflict period, indicating the impact of global events on system transmission. The optimal weight and hedge ratio estimated using the DCC-GARCH model indicate that DeFi is beneficial for portfolio construction and risk management. The rising trend in dynamic optimal weight and hedge ratio during the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrates that investors should decrease their investments in DeFi and increase hedging costs. Therefore, portfolio managers and investors should readjust their portfolio allocation in a timely manner according to different market states to build additional effective hedging and diversification strategies to avoid large losses and to reduce portfolio risk exposure.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00678-4DeFiQuantile VARASEAN marketDiversificationHedging
spellingShingle Shoaib Ali
Youssef Manel
Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
Financial Innovation
DeFi
Quantile VAR
ASEAN market
Diversification
Hedging
title Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
title_full Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
title_fullStr Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
title_full_unstemmed Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
title_short Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study
title_sort unlocking the diversification benefits of defi for asean stock market portfolios a quantile study
topic DeFi
Quantile VAR
ASEAN market
Diversification
Hedging
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00678-4
work_keys_str_mv AT shoaibali unlockingthediversificationbenefitsofdefiforaseanstockmarketportfoliosaquantilestudy
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