Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018

In the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention plann...

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Main Authors: LIU Guonie, LIANG Yuanyuan, QIU Yue, XIA Jingxia, DING Mengyao, SUN Peng
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2022-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009
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author LIU Guonie
LIANG Yuanyuan
QIU Yue
XIA Jingxia
DING Mengyao
SUN Peng
author_facet LIU Guonie
LIANG Yuanyuan
QIU Yue
XIA Jingxia
DING Mengyao
SUN Peng
author_sort LIU Guonie
collection DOAJ
description In the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention planning of the area and improving the ability to resist drought.A risk assessment model is developed for agricultural droughts on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in light of regional disaster system theory,which is employed to investigate the hazard,exposure,vulnerability and spatiotemporal features of agricultural droughts therein.Moreover,the paper regionalizes the risk grade at a county level.The results show the followings:① The hazard of agricultural drought risk on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau presents a “high-low-high” distribution from southeast to northwest,and the southeastern region shows an increasing trend.Wheat and highland barley in the eastern and southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are at a high agricultural drought risk from July to September.Forages in the northern region are at a high agricultural drought risk from April to August.② The regional difference of agricultural drought exposure in Tibet Plateau is small.The exposure shows an increasing trend in the east and northwest while a decreasing trend in the central and west.③ The agricultural drought vulnerability of 98.79% of the counties and cities is decreasing,which passes the significance test at the confidence level of 99%.④ The southeastern and northern regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau witness a high agricultural drought risk and an increasing trend of it.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-3cf89a038d1043028e5a681d6f7c223f2025-01-15T02:26:36ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352022-01-014347643718Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018LIU GuonieLIANG YuanyuanQIU YueXIA JingxiaDING MengyaoSUN PengIn the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention planning of the area and improving the ability to resist drought.A risk assessment model is developed for agricultural droughts on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in light of regional disaster system theory,which is employed to investigate the hazard,exposure,vulnerability and spatiotemporal features of agricultural droughts therein.Moreover,the paper regionalizes the risk grade at a county level.The results show the followings:① The hazard of agricultural drought risk on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau presents a “high-low-high” distribution from southeast to northwest,and the southeastern region shows an increasing trend.Wheat and highland barley in the eastern and southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are at a high agricultural drought risk from July to September.Forages in the northern region are at a high agricultural drought risk from April to August.② The regional difference of agricultural drought exposure in Tibet Plateau is small.The exposure shows an increasing trend in the east and northwest while a decreasing trend in the central and west.③ The agricultural drought vulnerability of 98.79% of the counties and cities is decreasing,which passes the significance test at the confidence level of 99%.④ The southeastern and northern regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau witness a high agricultural drought risk and an increasing trend of it.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009SPEIdroughthazardvulnerabilityexposuredynamic risk assessment
spellingShingle LIU Guonie
LIANG Yuanyuan
QIU Yue
XIA Jingxia
DING Mengyao
SUN Peng
Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
Renmin Zhujiang
SPEI
drought
hazard
vulnerability
exposure
dynamic risk assessment
title Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
title_full Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
title_fullStr Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
title_short Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
title_sort dynamic assessment of agricultural drought risk in qinghai tibet plateau from 2000 to 2018
topic SPEI
drought
hazard
vulnerability
exposure
dynamic risk assessment
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009
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AT liangyuanyuan dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018
AT qiuyue dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018
AT xiajingxia dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018
AT dingmengyao dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018
AT sunpeng dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018