Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018
In the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention plann...
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Editorial Office of Pearl River
2022-01-01
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Series: | Renmin Zhujiang |
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Online Access: | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009 |
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author | LIU Guonie LIANG Yuanyuan QIU Yue XIA Jingxia DING Mengyao SUN Peng |
author_facet | LIU Guonie LIANG Yuanyuan QIU Yue XIA Jingxia DING Mengyao SUN Peng |
author_sort | LIU Guonie |
collection | DOAJ |
description | In the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention planning of the area and improving the ability to resist drought.A risk assessment model is developed for agricultural droughts on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in light of regional disaster system theory,which is employed to investigate the hazard,exposure,vulnerability and spatiotemporal features of agricultural droughts therein.Moreover,the paper regionalizes the risk grade at a county level.The results show the followings:① The hazard of agricultural drought risk on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau presents a “high-low-high” distribution from southeast to northwest,and the southeastern region shows an increasing trend.Wheat and highland barley in the eastern and southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are at a high agricultural drought risk from July to September.Forages in the northern region are at a high agricultural drought risk from April to August.② The regional difference of agricultural drought exposure in Tibet Plateau is small.The exposure shows an increasing trend in the east and northwest while a decreasing trend in the central and west.③ The agricultural drought vulnerability of 98.79% of the counties and cities is decreasing,which passes the significance test at the confidence level of 99%.④ The southeastern and northern regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau witness a high agricultural drought risk and an increasing trend of it. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-3cf89a038d1043028e5a681d6f7c223f |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1001-9235 |
language | zho |
publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
publisher | Editorial Office of Pearl River |
record_format | Article |
series | Renmin Zhujiang |
spelling | doaj-art-3cf89a038d1043028e5a681d6f7c223f2025-01-15T02:26:36ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352022-01-014347643718Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018LIU GuonieLIANG YuanyuanQIU YueXIA JingxiaDING MengyaoSUN PengIn the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention planning of the area and improving the ability to resist drought.A risk assessment model is developed for agricultural droughts on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in light of regional disaster system theory,which is employed to investigate the hazard,exposure,vulnerability and spatiotemporal features of agricultural droughts therein.Moreover,the paper regionalizes the risk grade at a county level.The results show the followings:① The hazard of agricultural drought risk on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau presents a “high-low-high” distribution from southeast to northwest,and the southeastern region shows an increasing trend.Wheat and highland barley in the eastern and southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are at a high agricultural drought risk from July to September.Forages in the northern region are at a high agricultural drought risk from April to August.② The regional difference of agricultural drought exposure in Tibet Plateau is small.The exposure shows an increasing trend in the east and northwest while a decreasing trend in the central and west.③ The agricultural drought vulnerability of 98.79% of the counties and cities is decreasing,which passes the significance test at the confidence level of 99%.④ The southeastern and northern regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau witness a high agricultural drought risk and an increasing trend of it.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009SPEIdroughthazardvulnerabilityexposuredynamic risk assessment |
spellingShingle | LIU Guonie LIANG Yuanyuan QIU Yue XIA Jingxia DING Mengyao SUN Peng Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 Renmin Zhujiang SPEI drought hazard vulnerability exposure dynamic risk assessment |
title | Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
title_full | Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
title_fullStr | Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
title_short | Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
title_sort | dynamic assessment of agricultural drought risk in qinghai tibet plateau from 2000 to 2018 |
topic | SPEI drought hazard vulnerability exposure dynamic risk assessment |
url | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.04.009 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT liuguonie dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 AT liangyuanyuan dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 AT qiuyue dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 AT xiajingxia dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 AT dingmengyao dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 AT sunpeng dynamicassessmentofagriculturaldroughtriskinqinghaitibetplateaufrom2000to2018 |