A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study

Anticipating future migration trends is instrumental to the development of effective policies to manage the challenges and opportunities that arise from population movements. However, anticipation is challenging. Migration is a complex system, with multifaceted drivers, such as demographic structure...

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Main Authors: Claudio Bosco, Umberto Minora, Anna Rosińska, Maurizio Teobaldelli, Martina Belmonte
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2024-01-01
Series:Data & Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000488/type/journal_article
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author Claudio Bosco
Umberto Minora
Anna Rosińska
Maurizio Teobaldelli
Martina Belmonte
author_facet Claudio Bosco
Umberto Minora
Anna Rosińska
Maurizio Teobaldelli
Martina Belmonte
author_sort Claudio Bosco
collection DOAJ
description Anticipating future migration trends is instrumental to the development of effective policies to manage the challenges and opportunities that arise from population movements. However, anticipation is challenging. Migration is a complex system, with multifaceted drivers, such as demographic structure, economic disparities, political instability, and climate change. Measurements encompass inherent uncertainties, and the majority of migration theories are either under-specified or hardly actionable. Moreover, approaches for forecasting generally target specific migration flows, and this poses challenges for generalisation.
format Article
id doaj-art-3a6c51b61ff44fddb681c8bb3abe20fd
institution Kabale University
issn 2632-3249
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publishDate 2024-01-01
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record_format Article
series Data & Policy
spelling doaj-art-3a6c51b61ff44fddb681c8bb3abe20fd2024-12-20T09:06:35ZengCambridge University PressData & Policy2632-32492024-01-01610.1017/dap.2024.48A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case studyClaudio Bosco0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6438-4571Umberto Minora1Anna Rosińska2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4508-5565Maurizio Teobaldelli3Martina Belmonte4European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, ItalyARCADIA SIT S.R.L., Milano, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, ItalyAnticipating future migration trends is instrumental to the development of effective policies to manage the challenges and opportunities that arise from population movements. However, anticipation is challenging. Migration is a complex system, with multifaceted drivers, such as demographic structure, economic disparities, political instability, and climate change. Measurements encompass inherent uncertainties, and the majority of migration theories are either under-specified or hardly actionable. Moreover, approaches for forecasting generally target specific migration flows, and this poses challenges for generalisation.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000488/type/journal_articleforecastingMachine Learningmigrationpolicy support
spellingShingle Claudio Bosco
Umberto Minora
Anna Rosińska
Maurizio Teobaldelli
Martina Belmonte
A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
Data & Policy
forecasting
Machine Learning
migration
policy support
title A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
title_full A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
title_fullStr A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
title_full_unstemmed A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
title_short A Machine Learning architecture to forecast Irregular Border Crossings and Asylum requests for policy support in Europe: a case study
title_sort machine learning architecture to forecast irregular border crossings and asylum requests for policy support in europe a case study
topic forecasting
Machine Learning
migration
policy support
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000488/type/journal_article
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