Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation

The sensitivity of glacier mass balance to temperature and precipitation variations is crucial for informing models that simulate glaciers’ response to climate change. In this study, we simulate the glacier-wide mass balance of Mera Glacier with a surface energy-balance model, driven by in situ mete...

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Main Authors: Arbindra Khadka, Fanny Brun, Patrick Wagnon, Dibas Shrestha, Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Glaciology
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Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S002214302400042X/type/journal_article
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author Arbindra Khadka
Fanny Brun
Patrick Wagnon
Dibas Shrestha
Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa
author_facet Arbindra Khadka
Fanny Brun
Patrick Wagnon
Dibas Shrestha
Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa
author_sort Arbindra Khadka
collection DOAJ
description The sensitivity of glacier mass balance to temperature and precipitation variations is crucial for informing models that simulate glaciers’ response to climate change. In this study, we simulate the glacier-wide mass balance of Mera Glacier with a surface energy-balance model, driven by in situ meteorological data, from 2016 to 2020. The analysis of the share of the energy fluxes of the glacier shows the radiative fluxes account for almost all the energy available during the melt season (May–October). However, turbulent fluxes are significant outside the monsoon (June–September). On an annual scale, melt is the dominant mass flux at all elevations, but 44% of the melt refreezes across the glacier. By reshuffling the available observations, we create 180 synthetic series of hourly meteorological forcings to force the model over a wide range of plausible climate conditions. A +1 (−1)°C change in temperature results in a −0.75 ± 0.17 (+0.93 ± 0.18) m w.e. change in glacier-wide mass balance and a +20 (−20)% change in precipitation results in a +0.52 ± 0.10 (−0.60 ± 0.11) m w.e. change. Our study highlights the need for physical-based approaches to produce consistent forcing datasets, and calls for more meteorological and glaciological measurements in High Mountain Asia.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 0022-1430
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publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Cambridge University Press
record_format Article
series Journal of Glaciology
spelling doaj-art-34548f175b7e4820869d9633bc22169f2025-01-16T21:53:30ZengCambridge University PressJournal of Glaciology0022-14301727-56522024-01-017010.1017/jog.2024.42Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitationArbindra Khadka0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8564-1477Fanny Brun1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6607-0667Patrick Wagnon2Dibas Shrestha3Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa4University Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, Grenoble, France International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, Kathmandu, Nepal Central Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, NepalUniversity Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, Grenoble, FranceUniversity Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, Grenoble, FranceCentral Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, NepalInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, Kathmandu, NepalThe sensitivity of glacier mass balance to temperature and precipitation variations is crucial for informing models that simulate glaciers’ response to climate change. In this study, we simulate the glacier-wide mass balance of Mera Glacier with a surface energy-balance model, driven by in situ meteorological data, from 2016 to 2020. The analysis of the share of the energy fluxes of the glacier shows the radiative fluxes account for almost all the energy available during the melt season (May–October). However, turbulent fluxes are significant outside the monsoon (June–September). On an annual scale, melt is the dominant mass flux at all elevations, but 44% of the melt refreezes across the glacier. By reshuffling the available observations, we create 180 synthetic series of hourly meteorological forcings to force the model over a wide range of plausible climate conditions. A +1 (−1)°C change in temperature results in a −0.75 ± 0.17 (+0.93 ± 0.18) m w.e. change in glacier-wide mass balance and a +20 (−20)% change in precipitation results in a +0.52 ± 0.10 (−0.60 ± 0.11) m w.e. change. Our study highlights the need for physical-based approaches to produce consistent forcing datasets, and calls for more meteorological and glaciological measurements in High Mountain Asia.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S002214302400042X/type/journal_articleenergy balanceglacier mass balancemountain glaciers
spellingShingle Arbindra Khadka
Fanny Brun
Patrick Wagnon
Dibas Shrestha
Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa
Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
Journal of Glaciology
energy balance
glacier mass balance
mountain glaciers
title Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
title_full Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
title_fullStr Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
title_full_unstemmed Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
title_short Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
title_sort surface energy and mass balance of mera glacier nepal central himalaya and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation
topic energy balance
glacier mass balance
mountain glaciers
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S002214302400042X/type/journal_article
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AT patrickwagnon surfaceenergyandmassbalanceofmeraglaciernepalcentralhimalayaandtheirsensitivitytotemperatureandprecipitation
AT dibasshrestha surfaceenergyandmassbalanceofmeraglaciernepalcentralhimalayaandtheirsensitivitytotemperatureandprecipitation
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