Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?

It is well-believed that most trading activities tend to herd. Herding is an important topic in finance. It implies a violation of efficient markets and hence, suggests possibly predictable trading profits. However, it is hard to test such a hypothesis using aggregated data (as in the literature). I...

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Main Author: Ren-Raw Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Information
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/11/707
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author Ren-Raw Chen
author_facet Ren-Raw Chen
author_sort Ren-Raw Chen
collection DOAJ
description It is well-believed that most trading activities tend to herd. Herding is an important topic in finance. It implies a violation of efficient markets and hence, suggests possibly predictable trading profits. However, it is hard to test such a hypothesis using aggregated data (as in the literature). In this paper, we obtain a proprietary data set that contains detailed trading information, and as a result, for the first time it allows us to validate this hypothesis. The data set contains all trades transacted in 2019 by all the brokers/dealers across all locations in Taiwan of all the equities (stocks, warrants, and ETFs). Given such data, in this paper, we use swarm intelligence to identify such herding behavior. In particular, we use two versions of swarm intelligence—Boids and PSO (particle swarm optimization)—to study the herding behavior. Our results indicate weak swarm among brokers/dealers.
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spelling doaj-art-31020d2dd05c44c690bbc97a520075682024-11-26T18:06:39ZengMDPI AGInformation2078-24892024-11-01151170710.3390/info15110707Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?Ren-Raw Chen0Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University, 113 W 60th Street, New York, NY 10023, USAIt is well-believed that most trading activities tend to herd. Herding is an important topic in finance. It implies a violation of efficient markets and hence, suggests possibly predictable trading profits. However, it is hard to test such a hypothesis using aggregated data (as in the literature). In this paper, we obtain a proprietary data set that contains detailed trading information, and as a result, for the first time it allows us to validate this hypothesis. The data set contains all trades transacted in 2019 by all the brokers/dealers across all locations in Taiwan of all the equities (stocks, warrants, and ETFs). Given such data, in this paper, we use swarm intelligence to identify such herding behavior. In particular, we use two versions of swarm intelligence—Boids and PSO (particle swarm optimization)—to study the herding behavior. Our results indicate weak swarm among brokers/dealers.https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/11/707swarm intelligenceTaiwan stock marketherding
spellingShingle Ren-Raw Chen
Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
Information
swarm intelligence
Taiwan stock market
herding
title Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
title_full Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
title_fullStr Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
title_full_unstemmed Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
title_short Is the Taiwan Stock Market (Swarm) Intelligent?
title_sort is the taiwan stock market swarm intelligent
topic swarm intelligence
Taiwan stock market
herding
url https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/11/707
work_keys_str_mv AT renrawchen isthetaiwanstockmarketswarmintelligent