Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus

Background and aims: Sars-CoV2 is a novel coronavirus that is transmitted to humans through zoonosis and characterised by mild to moderate pneumonia-like symptoms. The outbreak began in Wuhan, China, and has now spread on a global scale. Doubling time is the amount of period taken for a particular e...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Devanshu Mishra, Abid Haleem, Mohd Javaid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-10-01
Series:Journal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212426820301238
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846159590971932672
author Devanshu Mishra
Abid Haleem
Mohd Javaid
author_facet Devanshu Mishra
Abid Haleem
Mohd Javaid
author_sort Devanshu Mishra
collection DOAJ
description Background and aims: Sars-CoV2 is a novel coronavirus that is transmitted to humans through zoonosis and characterised by mild to moderate pneumonia-like symptoms. The outbreak began in Wuhan, China, and has now spread on a global scale. Doubling time is the amount of period taken for a particular entity (that tends to grow over time) to double its size/value. This study's prime target is to develop relationships between the variation in the doubling time of the number of cases of COVID-19 virus and various socio-economic factors responsible for them. These frameworks focus on the relationships instead of relational data, so here in graph structures, we have generated different patterns of doubling rates and drawn the inferences. Methods: Only significant countries affected by the COVID-19 virus are studied, and accordingly, collected datasets of growth of cases in the form of spreadsheets. The doubling rate is determined by calculating the doubling time for each day and then plotting these datasets in graphical form. Results: The doubling time of various countries is vastly affected by the preventive measures taken and the lockdown implementation's success. Higher testing rates helped identify the hosts of the virus; thus, countries with mass testing have lower doubling rates. Countries, where the virus spread started earlier, had less time to prepare themselves, and they were in initial stages, the doubling time suffered. A sudden dip in doubling time is due to a large gathering of people or not effective lockdown; thus, people's attitude contributes to an essential role in affecting the doubling time. Conclusion: The relationships between the spread of the virus and various factors such as dissimilarities in ethnic values, demographics, governing bodies, human resources, economy, and tourism of major countries are carried out to understand the differences in the virus's behaviour. This fast-moving pandemic has shown various defects and weaknesses in our healthcare systems, political organisations & economic stability and gives numerous lessons on how to enhance the ways that the global societies address similar epidemics. There is also a component that may share the same denominator is the necessity for requisite healthcare systems and medical staff. Still, the shortage of this component does not certainly mean that taking necessary steps would be ineffective. Transmission of COVID-19 to humans by zoonosis reveals that the global community is required to be observant concerning similar pandemics in the future.
format Article
id doaj-art-30c3c06e4e0a49e695a3132db36dd504
institution Kabale University
issn 2212-4268
language English
publishDate 2020-10-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research
spelling doaj-art-30c3c06e4e0a49e695a3132db36dd5042024-11-23T06:28:19ZengElsevierJournal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research2212-42682020-10-01104478483Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virusDevanshu Mishra0Abid Haleem1Mohd Javaid2Department of Mechanical Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, IndiaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, IndiaCorresponding author.; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, IndiaBackground and aims: Sars-CoV2 is a novel coronavirus that is transmitted to humans through zoonosis and characterised by mild to moderate pneumonia-like symptoms. The outbreak began in Wuhan, China, and has now spread on a global scale. Doubling time is the amount of period taken for a particular entity (that tends to grow over time) to double its size/value. This study's prime target is to develop relationships between the variation in the doubling time of the number of cases of COVID-19 virus and various socio-economic factors responsible for them. These frameworks focus on the relationships instead of relational data, so here in graph structures, we have generated different patterns of doubling rates and drawn the inferences. Methods: Only significant countries affected by the COVID-19 virus are studied, and accordingly, collected datasets of growth of cases in the form of spreadsheets. The doubling rate is determined by calculating the doubling time for each day and then plotting these datasets in graphical form. Results: The doubling time of various countries is vastly affected by the preventive measures taken and the lockdown implementation's success. Higher testing rates helped identify the hosts of the virus; thus, countries with mass testing have lower doubling rates. Countries, where the virus spread started earlier, had less time to prepare themselves, and they were in initial stages, the doubling time suffered. A sudden dip in doubling time is due to a large gathering of people or not effective lockdown; thus, people's attitude contributes to an essential role in affecting the doubling time. Conclusion: The relationships between the spread of the virus and various factors such as dissimilarities in ethnic values, demographics, governing bodies, human resources, economy, and tourism of major countries are carried out to understand the differences in the virus's behaviour. This fast-moving pandemic has shown various defects and weaknesses in our healthcare systems, political organisations & economic stability and gives numerous lessons on how to enhance the ways that the global societies address similar epidemics. There is also a component that may share the same denominator is the necessity for requisite healthcare systems and medical staff. Still, the shortage of this component does not certainly mean that taking necessary steps would be ineffective. Transmission of COVID-19 to humans by zoonosis reveals that the global community is required to be observant concerning similar pandemics in the future.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212426820301238COVID-19CoronavirusDoubling rateDoubling timeZoonosis
spellingShingle Devanshu Mishra
Abid Haleem
Mohd Javaid
Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
Journal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research
COVID-19
Coronavirus
Doubling rate
Doubling time
Zoonosis
title Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
title_full Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
title_fullStr Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
title_full_unstemmed Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
title_short Analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by COVID-19 virus
title_sort analysing the behaviour of doubling rates in 8 major countries affected by covid 19 virus
topic COVID-19
Coronavirus
Doubling rate
Doubling time
Zoonosis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212426820301238
work_keys_str_mv AT devanshumishra analysingthebehaviourofdoublingratesin8majorcountriesaffectedbycovid19virus
AT abidhaleem analysingthebehaviourofdoublingratesin8majorcountriesaffectedbycovid19virus
AT mohdjavaid analysingthebehaviourofdoublingratesin8majorcountriesaffectedbycovid19virus