Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management

The land use and land cover (LULC) change has far-reaching repercussions on both natural ecosystems and socioeconomic systems worldwide. The objective of this study is to investigate the dynamics of LULC, identify its causes, and evaluate its magnitude over three distinct time intervals (1993–2003,...

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Main Authors: Engdaye Mersha, Sileshi Degefa, Mekuria Argaw, Wondimagegn Mengist
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Sustainable Environment
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/27658511.2024.2345461
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author Engdaye Mersha
Sileshi Degefa
Mekuria Argaw
Wondimagegn Mengist
author_facet Engdaye Mersha
Sileshi Degefa
Mekuria Argaw
Wondimagegn Mengist
author_sort Engdaye Mersha
collection DOAJ
description The land use and land cover (LULC) change has far-reaching repercussions on both natural ecosystems and socioeconomic systems worldwide. The objective of this study is to investigate the dynamics of LULC, identify its causes, and evaluate its magnitude over three distinct time intervals (1993–2003, 2003–2013, and 2013–2023) in the Borkena watershed. Various methodologies, including remote sensing techniques, field observations, and focus group discussions, were employed to analyze the changes in LULC. Additionally, community perceptions were assessed through Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and Key Informants Interviews (KIIs). Four LULC classification maps were generated and utilized to analyze land use changes, while image classification was conducted using the maximum likelihood method. The six primary land use and land cover categories considered were forest, cultivated land, shrubland, water bodies, built-up areas, and bare land. The results indicated an increase in settlements (77%), cultivated land (12%), and bare land (7%) between 1993 and 2023, while a decrease in forest cover (10%), shrubland (150%), and water bodies (−101%). These changes were predominantly observed in areas with gentle slopes (0–8%) and low altitudes (0–500 m). The findings suggest a significant expansion of agricultural and urbanization activities within the watershed. Anthropogenic activities such as agriculture and settlement had a more pronounced impact on low-lying and gently sloping areas compared to high-altitude and steep slope regions. Key informants and focus group discussions highlighted rapid population growth, rainfall variability, soil fertility decline, and a scarcity of fuelwood as the primary factors contributing to these changes.
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spelling doaj-art-30681de325874a40a9cc4a880927c01c2024-12-09T16:47:01ZengTaylor & Francis GroupSustainable Environment2765-85112024-12-0110110.1080/27658511.2024.2345461Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land managementEngdaye Mersha0Sileshi Degefa1Mekuria Argaw2Wondimagegn Mengist3Center for Environmental Science, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaNatural resource Management, Debre Berhan University, Debre Berhan, EthiopiaCenter for Environmental Science, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaNatural resource Management, Debre Berhan University, Debre Berhan, EthiopiaThe land use and land cover (LULC) change has far-reaching repercussions on both natural ecosystems and socioeconomic systems worldwide. The objective of this study is to investigate the dynamics of LULC, identify its causes, and evaluate its magnitude over three distinct time intervals (1993–2003, 2003–2013, and 2013–2023) in the Borkena watershed. Various methodologies, including remote sensing techniques, field observations, and focus group discussions, were employed to analyze the changes in LULC. Additionally, community perceptions were assessed through Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and Key Informants Interviews (KIIs). Four LULC classification maps were generated and utilized to analyze land use changes, while image classification was conducted using the maximum likelihood method. The six primary land use and land cover categories considered were forest, cultivated land, shrubland, water bodies, built-up areas, and bare land. The results indicated an increase in settlements (77%), cultivated land (12%), and bare land (7%) between 1993 and 2023, while a decrease in forest cover (10%), shrubland (150%), and water bodies (−101%). These changes were predominantly observed in areas with gentle slopes (0–8%) and low altitudes (0–500 m). The findings suggest a significant expansion of agricultural and urbanization activities within the watershed. Anthropogenic activities such as agriculture and settlement had a more pronounced impact on low-lying and gently sloping areas compared to high-altitude and steep slope regions. Key informants and focus group discussions highlighted rapid population growth, rainfall variability, soil fertility decline, and a scarcity of fuelwood as the primary factors contributing to these changes.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/27658511.2024.2345461Land useland cover dynamicsland degradationdrivers and causes of LULCCAwash River basinremote sensing
spellingShingle Engdaye Mersha
Sileshi Degefa
Mekuria Argaw
Wondimagegn Mengist
Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
Sustainable Environment
Land use
land cover dynamics
land degradation
drivers and causes of LULCC
Awash River basin
remote sensing
title Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
title_full Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
title_fullStr Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
title_full_unstemmed Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
title_short Modeling land use dynamics in Borkena watershed, Awash River basin, Ethiopia: Implications for sustainable land management
title_sort modeling land use dynamics in borkena watershed awash river basin ethiopia implications for sustainable land management
topic Land use
land cover dynamics
land degradation
drivers and causes of LULCC
Awash River basin
remote sensing
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/27658511.2024.2345461
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