The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea

This study investigates the extension of the potential habitat of Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in the North Sea using observational data and model experiments under current and future climate scenarios. We assess the combined effects of temperature, salinity, and nutrient availability, particularly t...

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Main Authors: Olaf Duteil, Diego Macias, Adolf Stips, Luca Polimene
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Communications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad97ab
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author Olaf Duteil
Diego Macias
Adolf Stips
Luca Polimene
author_facet Olaf Duteil
Diego Macias
Adolf Stips
Luca Polimene
author_sort Olaf Duteil
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the extension of the potential habitat of Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in the North Sea using observational data and model experiments under current and future climate scenarios. We assess the combined effects of temperature, salinity, and nutrient availability, particularly the nitrogen-to-phosphorus ratio, on HABs in the region. Climate change projections indicate a decrease in salinity concomitant with an increase in surface temperature, potentially leading to an offshore extension of HAB habitat. Reducing nitrogen and phosphorus loads in rivers differentially affects dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and phosphorus (DIP) levels, with DIN being more sensitive to load reduction, thereby constraining HAB habitat extension. We underscore the importance of considering both physical and biogeochemical factors in assessing HAB habitat dynamics and the potential impacts of climate change and nutrient reduction measures on HAB expansion in the North Sea. These findings have significant implications for environmental policy and management.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2024-01-01
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series Environmental Research Communications
spelling doaj-art-2f3bf1b6c9b44ea9adc8c34d42badebf2024-12-09T17:00:24ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Communications2515-76202024-01-0161212100410.1088/2515-7620/ad97abThe major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North SeaOlaf Duteil0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5670-570XDiego Macias1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7772-255XAdolf Stips2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2433-1501Luca Polimene3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3549-6937Duteil Environmental Numerics, Reventloustrasse, 17, 24235 Laboe, GermanyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra, VA, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra, VA, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra, VA, ItalyThis study investigates the extension of the potential habitat of Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in the North Sea using observational data and model experiments under current and future climate scenarios. We assess the combined effects of temperature, salinity, and nutrient availability, particularly the nitrogen-to-phosphorus ratio, on HABs in the region. Climate change projections indicate a decrease in salinity concomitant with an increase in surface temperature, potentially leading to an offshore extension of HAB habitat. Reducing nitrogen and phosphorus loads in rivers differentially affects dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and phosphorus (DIP) levels, with DIN being more sensitive to load reduction, thereby constraining HAB habitat extension. We underscore the importance of considering both physical and biogeochemical factors in assessing HAB habitat dynamics and the potential impacts of climate change and nutrient reduction measures on HAB expansion in the North Sea. These findings have significant implications for environmental policy and management.https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad97abHarmful Algal BloomsNorth Seaclimate changeocean modelling
spellingShingle Olaf Duteil
Diego Macias
Adolf Stips
Luca Polimene
The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
Environmental Research Communications
Harmful Algal Blooms
North Sea
climate change
ocean modelling
title The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
title_full The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
title_fullStr The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
title_full_unstemmed The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
title_short The major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of Harmful Algal Blooms: the case of the North Sea
title_sort major role of riverine outflows in shaping the current and future habitats of harmful algal blooms the case of the north sea
topic Harmful Algal Blooms
North Sea
climate change
ocean modelling
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad97ab
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