Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability

Floods cause severe losses, impacting communities and ecosystems, while risk assessment aids mitigation. Flood risk in Ardabil’s watersheds was assessed using a multi-criteria approach integrating hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Flood risk was determined by considering hazard, exposure, and vul...

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Main Authors: Elham Azizi, Raoof Mostafazadeh, Zeinab Hazbavi, Abazar Esmali-Ouri, Shahnaz Mirzaei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2551814
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author Elham Azizi
Raoof Mostafazadeh
Zeinab Hazbavi
Abazar Esmali-Ouri
Shahnaz Mirzaei
author_facet Elham Azizi
Raoof Mostafazadeh
Zeinab Hazbavi
Abazar Esmali-Ouri
Shahnaz Mirzaei
author_sort Elham Azizi
collection DOAJ
description Floods cause severe losses, impacting communities and ecosystems, while risk assessment aids mitigation. Flood risk in Ardabil’s watersheds was assessed using a multi-criteria approach integrating hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Flood risk was determined by considering hazard, exposure, and vulnerability using 19 criteria that influence flood occurrence. These criteria include max 24-h rainfall, potential runoff generation, frequency of floods, max flood discharge, runoff contribution area, and floodplain extent, average floodplain width, population density, cultural heritage, reservoir storage capacity, flood control, natural lands, flood awareness/preparation, illiteracy rate, emergency services, topography, unemployment rate, housing quality, and infrastructure. Hydro-meteorological data and GIS maps were used to calculate factors via the arithmetic mean of standardized criteria, with risk estimated by multiplying the factors. The hazard factor had the greatest impact on flood risk, with low risk in the Eiril and Namin watersheds and the highest in Mashiran. About 32.52% and 33.81% of the studied watersheds area are assigned as very high and high-risk classes, respectively. As a concluding remark, the presented map can provide managers and planners with a comprehensive view of the risk of flooding, taking into account all the effective factors in different climatic conditions, topography, and diversity of human activities.
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spelling doaj-art-2ee6cc11c84e4da7a0e8d2e5fd5277552025-08-26T12:08:06ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132025-12-0116110.1080/19475705.2025.2551814Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerabilityElham Azizi0Raoof Mostafazadeh1Zeinab Hazbavi2Abazar Esmali-Ouri3Shahnaz Mirzaei4Department of Natural Resources, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, IranDepartment of Natural Resources, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, IranDepartment of Natural Resources, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, IranDepartment of Natural Resources, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, IranDepartment of Watershed Management, Gorgan University of Agricultural Science and Natural Resources, Gorgan, IranFloods cause severe losses, impacting communities and ecosystems, while risk assessment aids mitigation. Flood risk in Ardabil’s watersheds was assessed using a multi-criteria approach integrating hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Flood risk was determined by considering hazard, exposure, and vulnerability using 19 criteria that influence flood occurrence. These criteria include max 24-h rainfall, potential runoff generation, frequency of floods, max flood discharge, runoff contribution area, and floodplain extent, average floodplain width, population density, cultural heritage, reservoir storage capacity, flood control, natural lands, flood awareness/preparation, illiteracy rate, emergency services, topography, unemployment rate, housing quality, and infrastructure. Hydro-meteorological data and GIS maps were used to calculate factors via the arithmetic mean of standardized criteria, with risk estimated by multiplying the factors. The hazard factor had the greatest impact on flood risk, with low risk in the Eiril and Namin watersheds and the highest in Mashiran. About 32.52% and 33.81% of the studied watersheds area are assigned as very high and high-risk classes, respectively. As a concluding remark, the presented map can provide managers and planners with a comprehensive view of the risk of flooding, taking into account all the effective factors in different climatic conditions, topography, and diversity of human activities.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2551814Climatic variablesrainfall intensitymaximum 24-h rainfallriver flowflood management
spellingShingle Elham Azizi
Raoof Mostafazadeh
Zeinab Hazbavi
Abazar Esmali-Ouri
Shahnaz Mirzaei
Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Climatic variables
rainfall intensity
maximum 24-h rainfall
river flow
flood management
title Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
title_full Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
title_fullStr Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
title_full_unstemmed Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
title_short Geospatial flood risk assessment: multi-criteria approach integrating hydro-climatic hazard, exposure, vulnerability
title_sort geospatial flood risk assessment multi criteria approach integrating hydro climatic hazard exposure vulnerability
topic Climatic variables
rainfall intensity
maximum 24-h rainfall
river flow
flood management
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2551814
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