Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model

To study the current situation of water resources carrying capacity and alleviate the water supply pressure in Jiangxi Province,this paper constructed an evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity,taking into account the characteristics of water resources in Jiangxi Province.Furthe...

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Main Authors: SONG Shiqiang, FENG Qian, WANG Pinggen, TANG Guohao, XIONG Xiahui, JI Yong
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2023-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47640313&Fpath=home&index=0
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author SONG Shiqiang
FENG Qian
WANG Pinggen
TANG Guohao
XIONG Xiahui
JI Yong
author_facet SONG Shiqiang
FENG Qian
WANG Pinggen
TANG Guohao
XIONG Xiahui
JI Yong
author_sort SONG Shiqiang
collection DOAJ
description To study the current situation of water resources carrying capacity and alleviate the water supply pressure in Jiangxi Province,this paper constructed an evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity,taking into account the characteristics of water resources in Jiangxi Province.Further,a system dynamics model of water resources carrying capacity was built with historical data,and four development scenarios were designed,under which the variations of various index parameters were obtained through model simulation.The weight of each index was determined by the analytic hierarchy process,and the change of water resources carrying capacity was calculated under each scenario.The following findings are obtained.① Under the current development scenario,the water resources carrying capacity of Jiangxi Province is in a state of slightly overloading.② Under the rapid development scenario,the overload of the water resources carrying capacity in Jiangxi Province becomes more serious.③ Under the water saving & pollution control and comprehensive development scenarios,the water resources carrying capacity tend to be both improved,and the improvement degree is higher under the latter scenario.The comprehensive development scenario is found to be the optimal development scenario which accords with the sustainable development of Jiangxi Province.This study can provide reference and an evaluation basis for water resources management planning in Jiangxi Province.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
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series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-2e89234182b047718efc4f7fbcbdb0252025-01-15T02:22:50ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352023-01-014447640313Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics ModelSONG ShiqiangFENG QianWANG PinggenTANG GuohaoXIONG XiahuiJI YongTo study the current situation of water resources carrying capacity and alleviate the water supply pressure in Jiangxi Province,this paper constructed an evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity,taking into account the characteristics of water resources in Jiangxi Province.Further,a system dynamics model of water resources carrying capacity was built with historical data,and four development scenarios were designed,under which the variations of various index parameters were obtained through model simulation.The weight of each index was determined by the analytic hierarchy process,and the change of water resources carrying capacity was calculated under each scenario.The following findings are obtained.① Under the current development scenario,the water resources carrying capacity of Jiangxi Province is in a state of slightly overloading.② Under the rapid development scenario,the overload of the water resources carrying capacity in Jiangxi Province becomes more serious.③ Under the water saving & pollution control and comprehensive development scenarios,the water resources carrying capacity tend to be both improved,and the improvement degree is higher under the latter scenario.The comprehensive development scenario is found to be the optimal development scenario which accords with the sustainable development of Jiangxi Province.This study can provide reference and an evaluation basis for water resources management planning in Jiangxi Province.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47640313&Fpath=home&index=0water resources carrying capacitysystem dynamicsmodel simulationanalytical hierarchy processJiangxi Province
spellingShingle SONG Shiqiang
FENG Qian
WANG Pinggen
TANG Guohao
XIONG Xiahui
JI Yong
Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
Renmin Zhujiang
water resources carrying capacity
system dynamics
model simulation
analytical hierarchy process
Jiangxi Province
title Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
title_full Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
title_fullStr Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
title_short Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Based on System Dynamics Model
title_sort evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in jiangxi based on system dynamics model
topic water resources carrying capacity
system dynamics
model simulation
analytical hierarchy process
Jiangxi Province
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47640313&Fpath=home&index=0
work_keys_str_mv AT songshiqiang evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel
AT fengqian evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel
AT wangpinggen evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel
AT tangguohao evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel
AT xiongxiahui evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel
AT jiyong evaluationofwaterresourcescarryingcapacityinjiangxibasedonsystemdynamicsmodel