XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine

This work extensively develops and evaluates an XGBoost model for predictive analysis of gas turbine performance. The goal is to construct a robust prediction model by utilizing previous operational data, such as environmental variables and operational parameters. This study examines building a pred...

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Main Authors: Nagoor Basha Shaik, Kittiphong Jongkittinarukorn, Kishore Bingi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-12-01
Series:Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424001695
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author Nagoor Basha Shaik
Kittiphong Jongkittinarukorn
Kishore Bingi
author_facet Nagoor Basha Shaik
Kittiphong Jongkittinarukorn
Kishore Bingi
author_sort Nagoor Basha Shaik
collection DOAJ
description This work extensively develops and evaluates an XGBoost model for predictive analysis of gas turbine performance. The goal is to construct a robust prediction model by utilizing previous operational data, such as environmental variables and operational parameters. This study examines building a predictive model using the XGBoost algorithm, an ensemble learning approach known for handling huge datasets and producing robust predictions. The model is built to anticipate the gas turbine's Energy Yield (EY) output, optimize energy production efficiency, improve maintenance schedules, and enable operational decision-making within the power plant. The performance of the XGBoost model is carefully evaluated using effective evaluation metrics like RMSE, MSE, MAE, and R2 and validation methodologies, providing insights into its accuracy, robustness, and generalizability. The enhanced XGBoost predictive model's most notable feature is its ability to smoothly expand its forecasting skills to anticipate EY by applying the data acquired by anticipating positive and negative factors. Notably, the model demonstrated versatility by filling missing values in the dataset with Compressor discharge pressure (CDP) and Outlet Temperature (OT) predictions. The proposed framework intends to illustrate the practical application of predictive analytics in the sustainable energy/oil and gas industry to give significant insights into the variables influencing energy output and its potential for boosting operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness in power generation. The proposed research establishes the framework for real-time integration of the developed XGBoost model with gas turbine control systems.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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series Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering
spelling doaj-art-2b9bd8e0f5444e37a6eae8ffb5f9bab82024-12-02T05:05:28ZengElsevierCase Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering2666-01642024-12-0110100775XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbineNagoor Basha Shaik0Kittiphong Jongkittinarukorn1Kishore Bingi2Department of Mining and Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, 10330, ThailandDepartment of Mining and Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, 10330, Thailand; Corresponding author.Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, 32610, Seri Iskandar, Perak, MalaysiaThis work extensively develops and evaluates an XGBoost model for predictive analysis of gas turbine performance. The goal is to construct a robust prediction model by utilizing previous operational data, such as environmental variables and operational parameters. This study examines building a predictive model using the XGBoost algorithm, an ensemble learning approach known for handling huge datasets and producing robust predictions. The model is built to anticipate the gas turbine's Energy Yield (EY) output, optimize energy production efficiency, improve maintenance schedules, and enable operational decision-making within the power plant. The performance of the XGBoost model is carefully evaluated using effective evaluation metrics like RMSE, MSE, MAE, and R2 and validation methodologies, providing insights into its accuracy, robustness, and generalizability. The enhanced XGBoost predictive model's most notable feature is its ability to smoothly expand its forecasting skills to anticipate EY by applying the data acquired by anticipating positive and negative factors. Notably, the model demonstrated versatility by filling missing values in the dataset with Compressor discharge pressure (CDP) and Outlet Temperature (OT) predictions. The proposed framework intends to illustrate the practical application of predictive analytics in the sustainable energy/oil and gas industry to give significant insights into the variables influencing energy output and its potential for boosting operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness in power generation. The proposed research establishes the framework for real-time integration of the developed XGBoost model with gas turbine control systems.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424001695Gas turbineXGBoostPredictionEnergy yieldMissing dataAnalysis
spellingShingle Nagoor Basha Shaik
Kittiphong Jongkittinarukorn
Kishore Bingi
XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering
Gas turbine
XGBoost
Prediction
Energy yield
Missing data
Analysis
title XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
title_full XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
title_fullStr XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
title_full_unstemmed XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
title_short XGBoost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters: A case study on gas turbine
title_sort xgboost based enhanced predictive model for handling missing input parameters a case study on gas turbine
topic Gas turbine
XGBoost
Prediction
Energy yield
Missing data
Analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424001695
work_keys_str_mv AT nagoorbashashaik xgboostbasedenhancedpredictivemodelforhandlingmissinginputparametersacasestudyongasturbine
AT kittiphongjongkittinarukorn xgboostbasedenhancedpredictivemodelforhandlingmissinginputparametersacasestudyongasturbine
AT kishorebingi xgboostbasedenhancedpredictivemodelforhandlingmissinginputparametersacasestudyongasturbine