On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood

Abstract Maximum likelihood estimation (frequentist) and Bayesian estimation are two common parameter estimation methods. However, maximum likelihood estimation faces limitations, including the effect of outliers, computational complexity, and issues with ordinal categorical data, leading to biased...

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Main Authors: Daniel Biftu Bekalo, Anthony Kibira Wanjoya, Samuel Musili Mwalili
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80145-3
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author Daniel Biftu Bekalo
Anthony Kibira Wanjoya
Samuel Musili Mwalili
author_facet Daniel Biftu Bekalo
Anthony Kibira Wanjoya
Samuel Musili Mwalili
author_sort Daniel Biftu Bekalo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Maximum likelihood estimation (frequentist) and Bayesian estimation are two common parameter estimation methods. However, maximum likelihood estimation faces limitations, including the effect of outliers, computational complexity, and issues with ordinal categorical data, leading to biased estimates and inaccurate coverage probabilities. To address these limitations, this study employed a latent trait model with a Bayesian marginal likelihood of rank-based estimation for parameter estimation. The simulation results demonstrated favorable performance of the proposed method. Trace plots of all parameters showed good distribution and quick convergence, with the potential scale reduction factor not exceeding 1, indicating no convergence issues. Furthermore, the posterior predictive check showed the simulated data closely resembled the observed data, indicating the method effectively captures within-region variation through a latent trait parameter. Performance metrics like mean absolute error, root mean square error, and 95% confidence interval coverage probability revealed the estimates from the proposed Bayesian method surpassed those from classical approaches. In conclusion, a latent traits model with Bayesian marginal likelihood and rank-based estimation is considered a superior parameter estimation technique compared to classical methods, particularly for dealing with ordinal categorical data.
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spelling doaj-art-276ee9d0d0f642988cd3a9feb52726262024-11-24T12:21:26ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-11-0114112510.1038/s41598-024-80145-3On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihoodDaniel Biftu Bekalo0Anthony Kibira Wanjoya1Samuel Musili Mwalili2Pan African University Institute for Basic Sciences, Technology and InnovationJomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and TechnologyJomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and TechnologyAbstract Maximum likelihood estimation (frequentist) and Bayesian estimation are two common parameter estimation methods. However, maximum likelihood estimation faces limitations, including the effect of outliers, computational complexity, and issues with ordinal categorical data, leading to biased estimates and inaccurate coverage probabilities. To address these limitations, this study employed a latent trait model with a Bayesian marginal likelihood of rank-based estimation for parameter estimation. The simulation results demonstrated favorable performance of the proposed method. Trace plots of all parameters showed good distribution and quick convergence, with the potential scale reduction factor not exceeding 1, indicating no convergence issues. Furthermore, the posterior predictive check showed the simulated data closely resembled the observed data, indicating the method effectively captures within-region variation through a latent trait parameter. Performance metrics like mean absolute error, root mean square error, and 95% confidence interval coverage probability revealed the estimates from the proposed Bayesian method surpassed those from classical approaches. In conclusion, a latent traits model with Bayesian marginal likelihood and rank-based estimation is considered a superior parameter estimation technique compared to classical methods, particularly for dealing with ordinal categorical data.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80145-3Bayesian rank likelihoodMarkov Chain Monte CarloParameter estimationLatent traits
spellingShingle Daniel Biftu Bekalo
Anthony Kibira Wanjoya
Samuel Musili Mwalili
On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
Scientific Reports
Bayesian rank likelihood
Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Parameter estimation
Latent traits
title On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
title_full On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
title_fullStr On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
title_full_unstemmed On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
title_short On Bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank-based likelihood
title_sort on bayesian estimation of a latent trait model defined by a rank based likelihood
topic Bayesian rank likelihood
Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Parameter estimation
Latent traits
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80145-3
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