Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method

Waterlogging disaster in tide-affected area usually occurs under the influence of rainstorm and tide level.In the process of risk analysis of rainstorm and tide level,different sample methods will affect the risk probability results.Taking Zhong-Zhu union catchment as an example,based on annual maxi...

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Main Authors: WANG Shangwei, LIU Zengmei
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2024-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.02.014
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author WANG Shangwei
LIU Zengmei
author_facet WANG Shangwei
LIU Zengmei
author_sort WANG Shangwei
collection DOAJ
description Waterlogging disaster in tide-affected area usually occurs under the influence of rainstorm and tide level.In the process of risk analysis of rainstorm and tide level,different sample methods will affect the risk probability results.Taking Zhong-Zhu union catchment as an example,based on annual maximum series sampling method and peak over threshold sampling method combined with Copula function,the risk analysis results indicate that:①Sample data obtained based on peak over threshold sampling method has a larger sample size,which contains more rainstorm events than sample data obtained based on annual maximum series sampling method,and these rainstorm events tend to encounter high tide;②On the basis of containing more effective sample information,the frequency analysis results obtained by peak over threshold sampling method are more accurate and with much more security from the perspective of waterlogged drainage;③The joint distribution of rainstorm and tide based on peak over threshold sampling method showed a better fitting degree,and the probability of encountering unexpected events is larger as a result of annual maximal series sampling method omitted some effective sample information.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
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spelling doaj-art-268e6ebafd9740ab950d501ff4ebe7af2025-01-15T03:00:24ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352024-01-014550141927Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling MethodWANG ShangweiLIU ZengmeiWaterlogging disaster in tide-affected area usually occurs under the influence of rainstorm and tide level.In the process of risk analysis of rainstorm and tide level,different sample methods will affect the risk probability results.Taking Zhong-Zhu union catchment as an example,based on annual maximum series sampling method and peak over threshold sampling method combined with Copula function,the risk analysis results indicate that:①Sample data obtained based on peak over threshold sampling method has a larger sample size,which contains more rainstorm events than sample data obtained based on annual maximum series sampling method,and these rainstorm events tend to encounter high tide;②On the basis of containing more effective sample information,the frequency analysis results obtained by peak over threshold sampling method are more accurate and with much more security from the perspective of waterlogged drainage;③The joint distribution of rainstorm and tide based on peak over threshold sampling method showed a better fitting degree,and the probability of encountering unexpected events is larger as a result of annual maximal series sampling method omitted some effective sample information.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.02.014encounter of rainstorm and tiderisk analysisannual maximal series sampling methodpeak over threshold sampling methodCopula functionZhong-Zhu union catchment
spellingShingle WANG Shangwei
LIU Zengmei
Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
Renmin Zhujiang
encounter of rainstorm and tide
risk analysis
annual maximal series sampling method
peak over threshold sampling method
Copula function
Zhong-Zhu union catchment
title Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
title_full Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
title_fullStr Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
title_full_unstemmed Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
title_short Encounter Risk Analysis of Rainstorm and Tide Base on Different Sampling Method
title_sort encounter risk analysis of rainstorm and tide base on different sampling method
topic encounter of rainstorm and tide
risk analysis
annual maximal series sampling method
peak over threshold sampling method
Copula function
Zhong-Zhu union catchment
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.02.014
work_keys_str_mv AT wangshangwei encounterriskanalysisofrainstormandtidebaseondifferentsamplingmethod
AT liuzengmei encounterriskanalysisofrainstormandtidebaseondifferentsamplingmethod