Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye
Flooding, one of the most destructive and recurrent natural catastrophes, causes severe loss of life and property. The destructive effect of floods has increased with climate change and unplanned urbanization. To prevent this devastation and find solutions to potential flooding, it is important to i...
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2024-12-01
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author | Serdar Selim Emine Kahraman Ceren Selim Rifat Olgun Nihat Karakuş Erhan Önen Mesut Çoşlu Zeynep R. Ardahanlıoğlu Mert Çakır İsmail Çinar |
author_facet | Serdar Selim Emine Kahraman Ceren Selim Rifat Olgun Nihat Karakuş Erhan Önen Mesut Çoşlu Zeynep R. Ardahanlıoğlu Mert Çakır İsmail Çinar |
author_sort | Serdar Selim |
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description | Flooding, one of the most destructive and recurrent natural catastrophes, causes severe loss of life and property. The destructive effect of floods has increased with climate change and unplanned urbanization. To prevent this devastation and find solutions to potential flooding, it is important to improve engineering, ecological, hydrological, and hydrogeological precautions, as well as potential flood simulations. Using hydraulic models to perform flood simulations is a common and successful approach globally. In this study, HEC-RAS (1D) was used to simulate three different flood scenarios on the Boğaçay sub-basin in Antalya, the most important tourism destination of Türkiye. Flood scenarios were developed based on the data of the floods that occurred in the region in 2003 and 2006, with measured flow rates of 1899.9 m<sup>3</sup>/s and 1450 m<sup>3</sup>/s, respectively, and with the maximum flow rate (2408 m<sup>3</sup>/s) determined by the relevant ministry. Then, the landscape composition of the region at the sub-basin scale was determined and the impacts of flood scenarios on the landscape composition around the riverbed were evaluated. The results of the analysis show that the water height will increase, ranging from 1.4 m to 3.6 m, and the landscape composition of the region will be significantly affected by this increase in water height in the three different flood scenarios. Especially in the part where the river meets the sea, 580.74 ha of urban settlement is estimated to be damaged by flooding, according to the worst-case scenario. Finally, the study will guide decision-makers to take the necessary measures under the relevant scenarios. |
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institution | Kabale University |
issn | 2076-3417 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
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series | Applied Sciences |
spelling | doaj-art-2252ce5eeaa34d38bc5576cd33152ae62025-01-10T13:14:49ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-12-0115121910.3390/app15010219Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/TürkiyeSerdar Selim0Emine Kahraman1Ceren Selim2Rifat Olgun3Nihat Karakuş4Erhan Önen5Mesut Çoşlu6Zeynep R. Ardahanlıoğlu7Mert Çakır8İsmail Çinar9Department of Space Sciences and Technologies, Faculty of Science, Akdeniz University, 07070 Antalya, TürkiyeVocational School of Serik G-S. Sural, Akdeniz University, 07500 Antalya, TürkiyeDepartment of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Architecture, Akdeniz University, 07070 Antalya, TürkiyeVocational School of Serik G-S. Sural, Akdeniz University, 07500 Antalya, TürkiyeVocational School of Serik G-S. Sural, Akdeniz University, 07500 Antalya, TürkiyeDepartment of Agricultural Services, Izmir Metropolitan Municipality, 35250 İzmir, TürkiyeDepartment of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Mehmet Akif Ersoy University, 15200 Burdur, TürkiyeVocational School of Fethiye Ali Sıtkı Mefharet Kocman, Mugla Sitki Kocman University, 48300 Muğla, TürkiyeDepartment of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Architecture, Süleyman Demirel University, 32200 Isparta, TürkiyeVocational School of Fethiye Ali Sıtkı Mefharet Kocman, Mugla Sitki Kocman University, 48300 Muğla, TürkiyeFlooding, one of the most destructive and recurrent natural catastrophes, causes severe loss of life and property. The destructive effect of floods has increased with climate change and unplanned urbanization. To prevent this devastation and find solutions to potential flooding, it is important to improve engineering, ecological, hydrological, and hydrogeological precautions, as well as potential flood simulations. Using hydraulic models to perform flood simulations is a common and successful approach globally. In this study, HEC-RAS (1D) was used to simulate three different flood scenarios on the Boğaçay sub-basin in Antalya, the most important tourism destination of Türkiye. Flood scenarios were developed based on the data of the floods that occurred in the region in 2003 and 2006, with measured flow rates of 1899.9 m<sup>3</sup>/s and 1450 m<sup>3</sup>/s, respectively, and with the maximum flow rate (2408 m<sup>3</sup>/s) determined by the relevant ministry. Then, the landscape composition of the region at the sub-basin scale was determined and the impacts of flood scenarios on the landscape composition around the riverbed were evaluated. The results of the analysis show that the water height will increase, ranging from 1.4 m to 3.6 m, and the landscape composition of the region will be significantly affected by this increase in water height in the three different flood scenarios. Especially in the part where the river meets the sea, 580.74 ha of urban settlement is estimated to be damaged by flooding, according to the worst-case scenario. Finally, the study will guide decision-makers to take the necessary measures under the relevant scenarios.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/219flood riskHEC-RASlandscape compositionflood scenarioBoğaçay sub-basin |
spellingShingle | Serdar Selim Emine Kahraman Ceren Selim Rifat Olgun Nihat Karakuş Erhan Önen Mesut Çoşlu Zeynep R. Ardahanlıoğlu Mert Çakır İsmail Çinar Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye Applied Sciences flood risk HEC-RAS landscape composition flood scenario Boğaçay sub-basin |
title | Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye |
title_full | Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye |
title_fullStr | Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye |
title_full_unstemmed | Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye |
title_short | Potential Flood Risk Scenario and Its Effects on Landscape Composition Using Hydraulic Modeling (HEC-RAS) in Boğaçay Sub-Basin/Türkiye |
title_sort | potential flood risk scenario and its effects on landscape composition using hydraulic modeling hec ras in bogacay sub basin turkiye |
topic | flood risk HEC-RAS landscape composition flood scenario Boğaçay sub-basin |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/219 |
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