Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR

[Objective] In order to strengthen the status ma-nagement of urban rail transit line sections, it is necessary to predict the overall deterioration trend of the gauge in space. [Method] CEEMD (complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition) theory is introduced to extract the IMF (intrinsic mod...

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Main Authors: JIA Qingtian, LIN Haijian, JIN Zhong
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Urban Mass Transit Magazine Press 2025-01-01
Series:Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
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Online Access:https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.009.html
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author JIA Qingtian
LIN Haijian
JIN Zhong
author_facet JIA Qingtian
LIN Haijian
JIN Zhong
author_sort JIA Qingtian
collection DOAJ
description [Objective] In order to strengthen the status ma-nagement of urban rail transit line sections, it is necessary to predict the overall deterioration trend of the gauge in space. [Method] CEEMD (complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition) theory is introduced to extract the IMF (intrinsic mode function) of the geometric alignment of the track section. The PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithm is utilized to optimize the SVR (support vector regression machine) to train and test the extracted data after calibrating the optimal parameters of the prediction model. Thus, the CEEMD-PSO-SVR prediction model is constructed. The prediction model is tested with 1,128 sets of track inspection sample data within the upward track section from K12+134 to K15+743 on Shanghai Metro Line 16. [Result & Conclusion] Compared with the PSO-SVR model and the ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model, the CEEMD-PSO-SVR prediction model has advantages in three performance evaluation indicators, namely root mean square error, mean absolute error, and absolute value of mean relative error.
format Article
id doaj-art-1fdf63835e52433199f1cf858f4811c7
institution Kabale University
issn 1007-869X
language zho
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Urban Mass Transit Magazine Press
record_format Article
series Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
spelling doaj-art-1fdf63835e52433199f1cf858f4811c72025-01-13T08:04:42ZzhoUrban Mass Transit Magazine PressChengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu1007-869X2025-01-01281505510.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.009Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVRJIA Qingtian0LIN Haijian1JIN Zhong2Shanghai Metro Maintenance Support Co, Ltd, 200235, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Metro Maintenance Support Co, Ltd, 200235, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Metro Maintenance Support Co, Ltd, 200235, Shanghai, China[Objective] In order to strengthen the status ma-nagement of urban rail transit line sections, it is necessary to predict the overall deterioration trend of the gauge in space. [Method] CEEMD (complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition) theory is introduced to extract the IMF (intrinsic mode function) of the geometric alignment of the track section. The PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithm is utilized to optimize the SVR (support vector regression machine) to train and test the extracted data after calibrating the optimal parameters of the prediction model. Thus, the CEEMD-PSO-SVR prediction model is constructed. The prediction model is tested with 1,128 sets of track inspection sample data within the upward track section from K12+134 to K15+743 on Shanghai Metro Line 16. [Result & Conclusion] Compared with the PSO-SVR model and the ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model, the CEEMD-PSO-SVR prediction model has advantages in three performance evaluation indicators, namely root mean square error, mean absolute error, and absolute value of mean relative error.https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.009.htmlurban rail transit linegauge deteriorationceemdsvr
spellingShingle JIA Qingtian
LIN Haijian
JIN Zhong
Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
urban rail transit line
gauge deterioration
ceemd
svr
title Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
title_full Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
title_fullStr Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
title_full_unstemmed Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
title_short Gauge Deterioration Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Lines Based on CEEMD and SVR
title_sort gauge deterioration prediction of urban rail transit lines based on ceemd and svr
topic urban rail transit line
gauge deterioration
ceemd
svr
url https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.009.html
work_keys_str_mv AT jiaqingtian gaugedeteriorationpredictionofurbanrailtransitlinesbasedonceemdandsvr
AT linhaijian gaugedeteriorationpredictionofurbanrailtransitlinesbasedonceemdandsvr
AT jinzhong gaugedeteriorationpredictionofurbanrailtransitlinesbasedonceemdandsvr