Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian

Hurricane Ian in 2022 was a destructive category 4 Atlantic hurricane striking the state of Florida, which caused hundreds of deaths and injuries, catastrophic property damage, and an economic loss of more than $112 billion. Before the landfall of Ian in Florida, the state government issued evacuati...

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Main Authors: Xiang Li, Yi Qiang, Guido Cervone
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-10-01
Series:Annals of GIS
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475683.2024.2341703
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author Xiang Li
Yi Qiang
Guido Cervone
author_facet Xiang Li
Yi Qiang
Guido Cervone
author_sort Xiang Li
collection DOAJ
description Hurricane Ian in 2022 was a destructive category 4 Atlantic hurricane striking the state of Florida, which caused hundreds of deaths and injuries, catastrophic property damage, and an economic loss of more than $112 billion. Before the landfall of Ian in Florida, the state government issued evacuation orders in high-risk zones to reduce casualties and injuries. However, there is limited data available to monitor the actual evacuation patterns and compliance with the evacuation orders at a large geographic scale. This study utilizes human mobility data (i.e. SafeGraph Weekly Pattern) to analyse the spatial patterns of evacuation during Hurricane Ian in 2022. The objectives of the study include three key aspects: 1) proposing an analytical workflow that utilizes human mobility data to detect mobility patterns in disasters and other emergency events; 2) identifying significant evacuation patterns, and 3) revealing the spatial variations in the compliance with evacuation orders in the affected areas. Using data science and spatial analysis techniques, this study detected notable changes in population movements, both within Florida and nationwide, which are potentially linked to the hurricane-induced population evacuation. The distance decay pattern of population flows from Florida demonstrates a propensity for individuals to relocate to nearby areas during the hurricane. Furthermore, the increase in population outflows from the impacted areas suggests the effectiveness of mandatory evacuation orders. A more pronounced increase in outflows from designated mandatory evacuation areas points to the public awareness of the evacuation zone designation. This study provides large-scale, fine-resolution analysis of evacuation behaviours in natural disasters which cannot be easily detected in traditional data sources. The analytical workflows provide actionable tools for government agencies and policymakers to evaluate the effectiveness of evacuation orders and improve evacuation plans in future disasters.
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spelling doaj-art-1e4a16d5e8eb4ded8fddb6a2f00f646a2024-11-21T11:36:02ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAnnals of GIS1947-56831947-56912024-10-0130449351110.1080/19475683.2024.2341703Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane IanXiang Li0Yi Qiang1Guido Cervone2School of Geosciences, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USASchool of Geosciences, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USAInstitute for Computational and Data Science, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAHurricane Ian in 2022 was a destructive category 4 Atlantic hurricane striking the state of Florida, which caused hundreds of deaths and injuries, catastrophic property damage, and an economic loss of more than $112 billion. Before the landfall of Ian in Florida, the state government issued evacuation orders in high-risk zones to reduce casualties and injuries. However, there is limited data available to monitor the actual evacuation patterns and compliance with the evacuation orders at a large geographic scale. This study utilizes human mobility data (i.e. SafeGraph Weekly Pattern) to analyse the spatial patterns of evacuation during Hurricane Ian in 2022. The objectives of the study include three key aspects: 1) proposing an analytical workflow that utilizes human mobility data to detect mobility patterns in disasters and other emergency events; 2) identifying significant evacuation patterns, and 3) revealing the spatial variations in the compliance with evacuation orders in the affected areas. Using data science and spatial analysis techniques, this study detected notable changes in population movements, both within Florida and nationwide, which are potentially linked to the hurricane-induced population evacuation. The distance decay pattern of population flows from Florida demonstrates a propensity for individuals to relocate to nearby areas during the hurricane. Furthermore, the increase in population outflows from the impacted areas suggests the effectiveness of mandatory evacuation orders. A more pronounced increase in outflows from designated mandatory evacuation areas points to the public awareness of the evacuation zone designation. This study provides large-scale, fine-resolution analysis of evacuation behaviours in natural disasters which cannot be easily detected in traditional data sources. The analytical workflows provide actionable tools for government agencies and policymakers to evaluate the effectiveness of evacuation orders and improve evacuation plans in future disasters.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475683.2024.2341703Hurricane evacuationspatial analysispopulation flowhuman mobilitynatural hazards
spellingShingle Xiang Li
Yi Qiang
Guido Cervone
Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
Annals of GIS
Hurricane evacuation
spatial analysis
population flow
human mobility
natural hazards
title Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
title_full Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
title_fullStr Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
title_full_unstemmed Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
title_short Using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane Ian
title_sort using human mobility data to detect evacuation patterns in hurricane ian
topic Hurricane evacuation
spatial analysis
population flow
human mobility
natural hazards
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475683.2024.2341703
work_keys_str_mv AT xiangli usinghumanmobilitydatatodetectevacuationpatternsinhurricaneian
AT yiqiang usinghumanmobilitydatatodetectevacuationpatternsinhurricaneian
AT guidocervone usinghumanmobilitydatatodetectevacuationpatternsinhurricaneian